Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction 11/8/25 NHL Picks Today
Washington Capitals (7-6-1) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (7-5-2)
November 8, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -148 / Washington Capitals +124; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Capitals and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet Saturday in NHL action from the Benchmark International Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prediction.
Washington Capitals Recap
The Washington Capitals come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-3 loss at the hands of the Pittsburgh Penguins last time out to sit at 7-6-1 this season. After this game, Washington wil head on the road again for a matchup against the Carolina Hurricanes.
Capitals Drop 5 Of Last 6
Tom Wilson leads Washington with 16 points including a team-high 9 goals and 7 assists while Dylan Strome has 14 points with 4 goals and a team-high 10 assists. Aliaksei Protas has 10 points with 5 goals and 5 assists while John Carlson, Jakob Chychrun and Alex Ovechkin each have 10 points with 3 goals and 7 assists. Ryan Leonard’s added 7 points with 3 goals and 4 assists. In goal for Washington, Logan Thompson has gone 6-3 with a 1.45 GAA and a .938 save percentage while Charlie Lindgren is 1-3-1 with a 3.59 GAA and an .878 save percentage so far this season.
Why the Washington Capitals will win
- The Lightning have lost each of their last 10 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Capitals have won each of their last five night games against the Lightning following a road loss.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine home games.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last nine games.
Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts
- Dylan Strome has scored at least one goal in four of the Capitals’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Alex Ovechkin has recorded at least one assist in four of the Capitals’ last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Dylan Strome has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Tom Wilson has recorded two assists against the Lightning this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Tampa Bay Lightning Recap
The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to add on to their 6-3 win over the Vegas Golden Knights last time out to sit at 7-5-2 this season. After this game, the Lightning will take on the New York Rangers at home.
Lightning Win 6 Of Their Last 7
Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning with 14 points coming on 7 goals and 7 assists while Jake Guentzel has 13 points with 5 goals and 8 assists. Brandon Hagel’s added 12 points with 6 goals and 6 assists while Victor Hedman has a team-high 11 assists and Anthony Cirelli has 11 points with a team-high 7 goals and 4 assists. Brayden Point’s also added 9 points with 3 goals and 6 assists as well on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 4-4-2 with a 2.70 GAA and a .901 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 3-1 with a 2.78 GAA and a .916 save percentage this season.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have lost each of their last 10 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Capitals have won each of their last five night games against the Lightning following a road loss.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine home games.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last nine games.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Nikita Kucherov has scored a goal in six of the Lightning’s last seven games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances with the Lightning as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in each of his last 12 home appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Anthony Cirelli ranks T1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (33.3%) this season.
Total Goals Facts
- Ten of the Lightning’s last 11 home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Eight of the Capitals’ last nine road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Nine of the last 10 Saturday night games between two teams from the Eastern Conference have gone OVER the total goals line.
Washington Capitals vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction
I’m on the Lightning here. You just have two teams headed in different direction and while Washington will be fine, it’s just hard to get in front of Tampa Bay when they’re in the midst of one of these runs. I think that Washington will get back on track eventually, but this is just a Tampa Bay spot for me. Give me the Bolts.