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Florida vs Florida State Prediction 11/11/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Florida State (2-0) vs. Florida (1-1)
November 11, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Florida -18.5; Over/Under: 178.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Florida State Seminoles and Florida Gators meet Tuesday in the college basketball action at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center. Here’s a Florida vs Florida State Prediction. This article will include a Florida vs Florida State Pick.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles beat Alcorn State and Alabama State, and they play UT Martin and Georgia Southern next. Florida State looks for back-to-back 3-0 starts to the season.

The Florida State Seminoles are averaging 104.5 points on 51.4 percent shooting and allowing 70 points on 42.2 percent shooting. Lajae Jones is averaging 19 points and 6.5 rebounds, while Chauncey Wiggins is averaging 17 points and 5 rebounds. Kobe MaGee is the third double-digit scorer and Robert McCray V is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Florida State Seminoles are shooting 40.3 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free throw line. The Florida State Seminoles are allowing 38.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.5 rebounds per game.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators lost to Arizona, beat North Florida, and they play Miami and Merrimack next. Florida has won 14 of its last 16 regular season games.

The Florida Gators are averaging 95.5 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 78.5 points on 40.2 percent shooting. Thomas Haugh is averaging 19.5 points and 6 rebounds, while Alex Condon is averaging 18 points and 9 rebounds. Micah Handlogten is the third double-digit scorer and Xaivian Lee is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Florida Gators are shooting 22 percent from beyond the arc and 65.5 percent from the free throw line. The Florida Gators are allowing 27.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49 rebounds per game.

Why the Florida Gators will win

  • Florida has won each of its last 14 games against non-Conference opponents at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center.
  • Florida State has lost each of its last nine games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Florida has won the first half in each of its last 10 games against non-Conference opponents at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

  • Florida State has won eight of its last nine games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Florida State has won the first half in each of its last nine games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Florida’s last 50 games against non-Conference opponents at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center have produced a total of 176 or fewer points.
  • Each of Florida State’s last 47 games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 170 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Florida ranks 1st for points per game (81.2) among the remaining teams in this season’s NCAA Tournament.
  • Florida ranks 1st for rebounds per game (40.7) among the remaining teams in this season’s NCAA Tournament.
  • Florida State is one of only six teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last three NCAA Tournament appearances.

Florida vs Florida State Prediction

Florida is obviously the more talented team and capable of a blowout win if things start to click. However, Florida has been sluggish through two games, as the defense has been spotty and it’s led to failed covers in both games. Florida State has been on fire offensively, topping 100 points twice, and the Noles are 2-0 ATS on the season. The favorite has covered 4 of the last 5 games between FSU and Florida, but this is a ton of points, especially if this offensive explosion with Florida State is real. Rivalry game. I love my dogs in rivalries. Give me the points with FSU on the road.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Florida State +18.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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