Navy vs South Florida Prediction Football Picks Today 11/15/25

In this article we will formulate a Navy vs South Florida prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 15th at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup. 

Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview

The Navy Midshipmen are 7-2 (5-1) this season after they lost to Notre Dame by a score of 49-10 in their last game. Navy trailed 21-10 at halftime and allowed 28 points in the second half for the lopsided loss. The Midshipmen were out gained by a total of 502-228, went 3-11 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Braxton Woodson went 3-8 for 22 yards, while also rushing for 101 yards and one score on 23 carries. Eli Heidenreich led the receivers with two catches for 20 yards in the loss. The Navy defense recorded zero sacks and two tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Navy lost to North Texas by a score of 31-17, but did beat FAU by a score of 42-32 before that. The Midshipmen have lost two games in a row and they are currently first in the American standings. Navy has scored 32.0 points per game with 134.9 passing yards and 304.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.8 points against per game this season. Blake Horvath (questionable) has thrown for 1,143 yards, seven touchdowns, and five interceptions, while also leading the rushing attack with 926 yards and 13 scores on 138 carries this season. 

South Florida Bulls Betting Preview

The South Florida Bulls are 7-2 (4-1) this year after they defeated UTSA by a score of 55-23 last week. South Florida led 45-10 at halftime and was able to coast to the easy win in the second half. The Bulls out gained UTSA by a total of 471-381, went 2-8 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Byrum Brown went 14-15 for 239 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for 109 yards and one score on nine carries. Keshaun Singleton led the receivers with four catches for 122 yards and two touchdowns in the win. The USF defense recorded six sacks and 12 tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, South Florida lost to Memphis by a score of 34-31, but did defeat FAU by a score of 48-13 before that. The Bulls have won five of their last six games and they are currently tied for second in the American standings. South Florida has scored 42.0 points per game with 258.3 passing yards and 226.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 24.2 points against per game this season. Byrum Brown has thrown for 2,203 yards, 19 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while also rushing for 705 yards and nine scores on 129 carries this year. 

Why the South Florida Bulls will win

• The favorite has won each of Navy’s last 10 games.
• Navy has lost each of its last five games against AP-ranked teams at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
• Navy has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games.
• South Florida has covered the spread in four of its last five November games as a favorite.
• South Florida has won the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
• South Florida has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Navy’s last seven games against AP-ranked teams at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of South Florida’s last seven road games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Navy has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
• Navy ranks 1st among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (304.9).
• South Florida has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 25+ points of any FBS team this season (5).
• South Florida ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (12.6).

Navy vs South Florida Prediction 

South Florida comes into this matchup ranked in the top 25 and they have a path to the CFP, but they will be on the road here. The Bulls did lose their last road game against Memphis, but they have scored at least 48 points in four of their last five. Navy has dropped two games in a row and they have allowed 49 and 31 points in those two losses. The Midshipmen don’t have the defense to stop South Florida and if Horvath doesn’t play, it could be a blowout. Take South Florida to cover on the road. 

David Racey is 117-95 (55%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!