Vikings vs Bears Prediction 11/16/25 NFL Picks Today

The Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings meet Sunday in NFL action at U.S. Bank Stadium. Here’s a Vikings vs Bears Prediction. This article will include a Vikings vs Bears Pick.

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

The Chicago Bears beat the Bengals and Giants, and they play the Steelers next. The Chicago Bears have won 6 of their last 7 games. Caleb Williams is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 2,136 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. DJ Moore and Rome Odunze have combined for 962 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Colston Loveland has 21 receptions.

The Chicago Bears ground game is averaging 147.3 yards per contest, and D’Andre Swift leads the way with 544 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Chicago is allowing 27.4 points and 375.7 yards per game. Tremaine Edmunds leads the Chicago Bears with 80 tackles, Montez Sweat has 5.5 sacks and Kevin Byard III has 4 interceptions.

Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Lions, lost to the Ravens, and they play the Packers next. The Minnesota Vikings have lost 3 of their last 4 games. JJ McCarthy is completing 53.7 percent of his passes for 692 yards, 5 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison have combined for 1,078 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jalen Nailor has 19 receptions.

The Minnesota Vikings ground game is averaging 102.1 yards per contest, and Jordan Mason leads the way with 444 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 23.7 points and 317.2 yards per game. Eric Wilson leads the Minnesota Vikings with 63 tackles, Jalen Redmond has 4 sacks and Joshua Metellus has 2 interceptions.

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

• The Bears have lost each of their last eight Week 11 road games against NFC opponents.
• The favorites have won each of the Bears’ last 13 Week 11 games.
• The favorites have covered the spread in six of the Vikings’ last seven games at U.S. Bank Stadium.
• The Bears have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 11 road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Bears have lost the first quarter in four of their last five road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Bears have lost the first half in each of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games as home favorites against NFC North opponents.

Why the Chicago Bears will win

• The Bears have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Vikings have lost four of their last five Week 11 games against NFC North opponents.
• The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five November games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The Bears have covered the spread in five of their last six road games in November.
• The Vikings have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The Vikings have lost the first half in four of their last five games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
• The Bears have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games against NFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Bears’ last six Sunday road games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Vikings’ last five games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last three games between NFC North teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

• Adam Thielen has scored at least one touchdown in six of his last seven November appearances with the Vikings as home favorites.
• Justin Jefferson has recorded 73+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 regular season appearances with the Vikings as home favorites against NFC opponents.
• Cam Akers has recorded 15+ rushing yards in 17 of his last 18 home appearances.
• Justin Jefferson has recorded 73+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 regular season appearances with the Vikings as home favorites against NFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 11, Will Reichard has recorded the equal-most made field goals in a single game this season (5 vs Eagles, Week 7).

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

• Caleb Williams has scored a touchdown in each of the Bears’ last two games.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 20+ completions in each of the Bears’ last five November games.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 231+ passing yards in four of the Bears’ last five November games.
• Olamide Zaccheaus has recorded 27+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine Sunday regular season road appearances.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 33+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last five November games.
• Heading into Week 11, Tremaine Edmunds ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Vikings – four different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.
• Heading into Week 11, the Vikings rank T1st in the NFL in forced fumbles (11) this season.
• Bears – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.
• Bears – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.

Vikings vs Bears Prediction

The Vikings are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home, but we’re getting points with the better team. The Vikings have had issues finishing games and their offense is limited due to the quarterback play. The Bears have issues defensively, but that offense is rolling, and they’ve won 6 of their last 7 games. The Bears have scored 24 or more points in 7 of their 9 games. Home field isn’t enough for me. We’re getting the better team as an underdog. You make money long term taking this approach. Give me the Bears.