New Mexico vs Air Force Prediction Football Picks Today 11/22/25

In this article, we will formulate a New Mexico vs Air Force Prediction for this College Football Week 13 game on Saturday, November 22^nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Air Force Falcons Preview

Air Force has a 3-7 record this season and is sitting 8th in the MWC. They are 4-6 ATS, 6-4 in Over/Under and have a 2-3 home record and a 1-4 away record. Air Force is coming off a 26-16 road loss against Connecticut and will face Colorado State next.

Offensively, Air Force averages 31.3 points per game, ranking 46th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 32.3 points per game, which is 121st. Air Force averages 429.8 total yards per game (158.7 passing and 271.1 rushing), while allowing 446.6 total yards per game (171.8 rushing and 274.8 passing).

Liam Szarka leads Air Force with 1,294 passing yards with 62.5% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Owen Allen leads the team in rushing yards with 356, while Cade Harris has a team-high 33 receptions for 561 receiving yards. Defensively, Blake Fletcher has a team-high 92 total tackles (34 of them solo), while Isaac Hubert leads the team in sacks, with 3, and Max Mustell has a team-high 3 interceptions.

New Mexico Lobos Preview

New Mexico has a 7-3 record this season and is sitting 4th in the MWC. They are 5-5 ATS, 5-5 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 2-3 away record. New Mexico is coming off a 20-17 home win against Colorado State and will face San Diego State next.

Offensively, New Mexico averages 29.2 points per game, ranking 61st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25 points per game, which is 72nd. New Mexico averages 385.0 total yards per game (234.2 passing and 150.8 rushing), while allowing 367.7 total yards per game (105.8 rushing and 261.9 passing).

Jack Layne leads New Mexico with 2,166 passing yards with 66.8% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Damon Bankston leads the team in rushing yards with 461, while Keagan Johnson has a team-high 50 receptions for 638 receiving yards. Defensively, Jaxton Eck has a team-high 106 total tackles (53 of them solo), while Keyshawn James-Newby leads the team in sacks, with 6.5, and Austin Brawley has a team-high 2 interceptions.

New Mexico Lobos @ Air Force Falcons Betting Trends: Week 13

Why the Air Force Falcons will win

• New Mexico has lost six of its last seven November games as a favorite.
• Air Force has won four of its last six November games as an underdog.
• New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight games in Colorado.
• The home team has covered the spread in six of the last seven games between New Mexico and Air Force.
• New Mexico has lost the first half in 11 of its last 13 road games against conference opponents.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

• New Mexico has won each of its last four games.
• Air Force has lost seven of its last nine games.
• The road team has covered the spread in seven of Air Force’s last eight games.
• Air Force has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
• Air Force has lost the first half in each of its last six home games against conference opponents.
• New Mexico has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Ten of the last 11 games between New Mexico and Air Force have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of New Mexico’s last four games as a road favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

Air Force Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Liam Szarka ranks T6th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (13) this season.

New Mexico Lobos Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Damon Bankston is one of only 11 players in the FBS to record 3+ rushing and 3+ receiving TDs this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Air Force ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (12.2).
• Air Force ranks 136th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (12.0).
• New Mexico ranks 10th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.2).
• New Mexico ranks T120th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (3.6).

New Mexico vs Air Force Prediction

In this New Mexico vs Air Force Prediction, New Mexico is coming as -3.5-point road favorites. Both teams have mirror records this season and identical home/away splits. New Mexico has been red-hot lately, having four consecutive wins, while Air Force is 2-7 in its last 9 games and have a weaker offense. The value here lies with the road team, so take New Mexico and lay the points on the road.