Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston Prediction Football Picks Today 11/22/25

The Sam Houston Bearkats and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders meet Saturday in college football action at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium. Here’s a Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston Prediction. This article will include a Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston Pick.

Sam Houston Bearkats Betting Preview

The Sam Houston Bearkats beat Oregon State and Delaware, and they play FIU next. The Sam Houston Bearkats have won 2 straight games. Hunter Watson is completing 57.1 percent of his passes for 1,108 yards, 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Chris Reed and Grady O’Neill have combined for 577 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Landan Brown has 31 receptions.

The Sam Houston Bearkats ground game is averaging 130.9 yards per contest, and Landan Brown leads the way with 415 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Sam Houston is allowing 36.7 points and 474.7 yards per game. Antavious Fish leads the Sam Houston Bearkats with 70 tackles, Christopher Eaton Jr. has 5 sacks and Emon Allen has 3 interceptions.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Preview

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost to Western Kentucky and FIU, and they play New Mexico State next. Middle Tennessee has lost 7 straight games. Nicholas Vattiato is completing 61.2 percent of his passes for 2,150 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Nahzae Cox and Cam’ron Lacy have combined for 965 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Myles Butler has 38 receptions.

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders ground game is averaging 86.9 yards per contest, and Jekail Middlebrook leads the way with 551 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Middle Tennessee is allowing 33 points and 403.9 yards per game. Parker Hughes leads the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders with 80 tackles, Brandon Buckner has 5.5 sacks and Juwon Gaston has 2 interceptions.

Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win

• Sam Houston State has lost each of its last four road games against conference opponents.
• Middle Tennessee has won three of its last four games against teams from Texas.
• Sam Houston State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six road games against conference opponents.
• Middle Tennessee has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
• Sam Houston State has lost the first half in each of its last four road games against conference opponents.

Why the Sam Houston State Bearkats will win

• Middle Tennessee has lost each of its last nine games against conference opponents.
• Sam Houston State has won four of its last five November games as an underdog.
• Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine November games as a favorite.
• The underdog has covered the spread in five of Middle Tennessee’s last six games at Johnny Floyd Stadium.
• Middle Tennessee has lost the first half in each of its last nine games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Sam Houston State’s last seven games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Middle Tennessee’s last four home games against teams from Texas have gone OVER the total points line.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Jekail Middlebrook is one of only 14 players in the FBS to record 250 rushing yards and 250 receiving yards this season.

Sam Houston State Bearkats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 13, Landan Brown ranks 4th amongst qualified players for catch rate (93.9%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Middle Tennessee is one of only two FBS teams winless in home games this season (0-5).
• Middle Tennessee ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.4).
• Sam Houston State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10+ points of any FBS team this season (5).
• Sam Houston State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 15+ points of any FBS team this season (5).

Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston Prediction

This line makes absolutely no sense to me. Middle Tennessee hasn’t won a game since September 13 and is 115th in scoring offense and 126th in scoring defense. Sure, Sam Houston has issues of its own, but it’s won back-to-back games, and we’re not being asked to lay a full touchdown. Middle Tennessee has outright lost its last 3 games as a favorite and is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games in the role.

What in the world has Middle Tennessee done to be laying a touchdown? Bueller, Bueller, Bueller? I’m not buying it. Give me Sam Houston and the free touchdown.