Lightning vs Flames Prediction 11/26/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Lightning vs Flames prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, November 26th at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 13-7-2 this season after they defeated Philadelphia by a score of 3-0 in their last game. Tampa Bay scored once in the first period, once in the second, and once in the third for the shutout win. The Lightning were out shot by a total of 20-18, won 47.7% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Cirelli and Hagel (2), while Vasilevskiy stopped all 20 shots for the shutout victory. 

Prior to that game, Tampa Bay defeated the Capitals by a score of 5-3 and the Oilers by a score of 2-1. The Lightning have won four games in a row and they are currently first in the Atlantic standings with 27 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.14 goals per game and they have allowed 2.73 goals against per game, while also going 17.1% on the power play and 87.5% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led TB with 10 goals and 15 assists, while Brandon Hagel has added 11 goals and 11 assists. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 9-5-2 with a 2.36 goals against average and a .913 save percentage this season. 

Calgary Flames Betting Preview

The Calgary Flames are 8-13-3 this year after they defeated Vancouver by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Calgary trailed 1-0 early in the first period, but they scored the next five goals to pull away with the win. The Flames were out shot by a total of 31-21, won 50.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Calgary got goals from Coleman, Frost, Sharangovich, Zary, and Bahl, while Wolf stopped 29 out of 31 shots, which was a .935 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Calgary defeated the Stars by a score of 3-2 and the Sabres by a score of 6-2. The Flames have won three games in a row and they are currently last in the Pacific standings with 19 points. Calgary has scored 2.38 goals per game and they have allowed 2.96 goals against per game, while also going 13.4% on the power play and 80.2% on the penalty kill this season. Nazem Kadri has led Calgary with four goals and 14 assists, while Rasmus Andersson has added five goals and 11 assists. The projected starting goalie for Calgary is Dustin Wolf, who is 6-11-2 with a 3.02 goals against average and an .895 save percentage this year. 

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last eight home games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Flames have lost nine of their last 10 road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five night games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Lightning have won the third period in eight of their last nine home games against Pacific Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flames’ last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning’s last six Wednesday games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the last nine Wednesday night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last eight Wednesday games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last three games as road underdogs.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in five of the Lightning’s last six home games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of his last 14 appearances with the Lightning as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• Victor Hedman has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight Wednesday home appearances.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Coronato has scored a goal in four of the Flames’ last five games.
• Blake Coleman has recorded at least one point in eight of his last nine appearances against former teams.
• Rasmus Andersson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Flames’ last five games.

Lightning vs Flames Prediction 

Calgary comes into this matchup as one of the bottom teams in the NHL, but they have won three games in a row. The Flames are 4-9-1 on the road this year, while the Lightning are 7-5-0 at home. Tampa Bay has won four games in a row and they have allowed one goal or fewer in three of those four. Both teams are playing at a high level right now, but we aren’t backing Calgary on the road. Take the Lightning -1.5 here.