San Diego State vs Baylor Prediction 11/26/25 College Basketball Picks Today
San Diego State vs Baylor
November 26, 2025 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego State
(Get latest betting odds)
The Baylor Bears and San Diego State Aztecs meet Wednesday in the college basketball action at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. Here’s a San Diego State vs Baylor Prediction. This article will include a San Diego State vs Baylor Pick.
Baylor Bears Betting Preview
The Baylor Bears beat Creighton, lost to St. John’s, and they play Sacramento State next. Baylor has won 4 of its last 5 games.
The Baylor Bears are averaging 86 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 80.2 points on 49 percent shooting. Cameron Carr is averaging 23.8 points and 5 rebounds, while Tounde Yessoufou is averaging 15 points and 5.8 rebounds. Dan Skillings Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Obi Agbim is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Baylor Bears are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.6 percent from the free throw line. The Baylor Bears are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.6 rebounds per game.
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs lost to Michigan, beat Oregon, and they play Utah Valley next. San Diego State has split its last 4 games.
The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 77.8 points on 43.5 percent shooting and allowing 76 points on 43 percent shooting. Reese Dixon-Waters is averaging 14.5 points and 4 rebounds, while Magoon Gwath is averaging 13.3 points and 5 rebounds. BJ Davis is the third double-digit scorer and Miles Byrd is dishing 3 assists. The San Diego State Aztecs are shooting 38.4 percent from beyond the arc and 73.7 percent from the free throw line. The San Diego State Aztecs are allowing 31.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.5 rebounds per game.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won each of its last 13 Wednesday night games.
- San Diego State has won the first half in each of its last nine Wednesday night games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Baylor Bears will win
- Baylor has won each of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- San Diego State has lost four of its last five games against the Big 12 Conference.
- Baylor has won the first half in each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Fifty-three of San Diego State’s last 56 games have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
- Fifteen of Baylor’s last 16 Wednesday night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- San Diego State ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for three-point percentage this season (40.4%).
- San Diego State ranks T44th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.2).
- Baylor ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (14.4).
- Baylor ranks T38th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (11.2).
San Diego State vs Baylor Prediction
Baylor has the athletes to hang with San Diego State, but based on how the Aztecs were disrespected by oddsmakers in that Oregon matchup, I’m anticipating another crazy line. We were on San Diego State and the points yesterday, and it cashed nicely in an outright win. It may take San Diego State some time to get rolling, but there’s some underrated talent on that squad. Baylor has had issues defensively, and I doubt things improve with a third game in three days. I’ll be on San Diego State for a second straight day.
