Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction Football Picks Today 11/29/25

The Vanderbilt Commodores and Tennessee Volunteers meet Saturday in college football action at Neyland Stadium. Here’s a Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction. This article will include a Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Pick.

Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview

The Vanderbilt Commodores beat Auburn and Kentucky. The Vanderbilt Commodores have won 4 of their last 5 games. Diego Pavia is completing 71.8 percent of his passes for 2,924 yards, 26 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Eli Stowers and Tre Richardson have combined for 1,309 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Junior Sherrill has 43 receptions.

The Vanderbilt Commodores ground game is averaging 174.3 yards per contest, and Diego Pavia leads the way with 661 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Vanderbilt is allowing 21.7 points and 353.4 yards per game. Bryan Longwell leads the Vanderbilt Commodores with 61 tackles, Miles Capers has 4.5 sacks and Martel Hight has 3 interceptions.

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview

The Tennessee Volunteers beat New Mexico State and Florida. Tennessee has won 3 of its last 4 games. Joey Aguilar is completing 67 percent of his passes for 3,145 yards, 23 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. Chris Brazzell II and Braylon Staley have combined for 1,697 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, while Mike Matthews has 44 receptions.

The Tennessee Volunteers ground game is averaging 201.5 yards per contest, and DeSean Bishop leads the way with 886 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 30 points and 416.4 yards per game. Edwin Spillman leads the Tennessee Volunteers with 72 tackles, Dominic Bailey has 5.5 sacks and Ty Redmond has 2 interceptions.

Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win

• Tennessee has won each of its last 12 games against teams from Tennessee.
• Vanderbilt has lost each of its last seven games against teams from Tennessee.
• The home team has covered the spread in five of Vanderbilt’s last six games.
• Vanderbilt has lost the first half in 21 of its last 27 road games against conference opponents.
• Tennessee has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents.

Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win

• Vanderbilt has won each of its last seven games in Tennessee.
• Tennessee has lost each of its last six November games against AP-ranked teams.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the last six games between Vanderbilt and Tennessee.
• Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six November games against AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Tennessee’s last four games against teams from Tennessee have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Vanderbilt’s last four games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

Tennessee Volunteers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 14, Joey Aguilar ranks 9th amongst FBS players for passing yards (3145) this season.

Vanderbilt Commodores Player Prop Facts

• Diego Pavia has recorded 300+ passing yards in three consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 14.

Matchup/League Facts

• Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (14.5).
• Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (25.5).
• Vanderbilt has scored 45+ points in five home games this season – most of any FBS team.
• Vanderbilt ranks T4th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (10.4).

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction

Tennessee is getting the benefit of the doubt at home, but Vanderbilt is the better, more balanced team. Vanderbilt can score with the Vols, but the difference is in the defense. Tennessee has had issues getting off the field this season, ranked 89th in total defense and 93rd in scoring defense. Good luck slowing down Vanderbilt’s superstar quarterback. Vanderbilt is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games as an underdog, and 7 of those covers were outright wins. I don’t care where the game is being played. W’ere getting points with the better team. I’ll take them.