Navy Midshipmen (8-2) vs. Memphis Tigers (8-3)
November 27, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Tigers -3.5 / Navy Midshipmen +3.5; Over/Under: 57.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Navy Midshipmen and the Memphis Tigers meet in week 14 college football action from Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium on Thursday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Navy Midshipmen vs. Memphis Tigers prediction.
Navy Midshipmen Recap
The Navy Midshipmen come into this game looking to build on their 41-38 win over USF last time out to sit at 8-2 this season. After this game, Navy will have their rivalry game against Army.
Midshipmen Looking To Reach AAC Title Game
Blake Horvath has thrown for 1,290 yards, 8 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 62.3% passing while also rushing for a team-high 986 yards and 13 touchdowns. Alex Tecza has 669 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns and Eli Heidenreich has 396 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Brandon Chatman also has 368 rushing yards and 3 TDs and Braxton Woodson’s added 414 rushing yards and 6 TDs as well on the year. Heidenrich leads the Middies in receiving with 38 catches for 741 yards and 4 touchdowns. On defense, MarcAnthony Parker leads the Midshipmen with 80 total tackles and Landon Robinson has a team-high 5.5 sacks. As a unit, Navy’s defense has combined for 20 sacks and 5 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Navy Midshipmen will win
- Navy has won 10 of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Memphis has lost three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Memphis has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Navy has covered the spread in 12 of its last 16 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Memphis Tigers Recap
The Memphis Tigers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 31-27 loss at the hands of East Carolina prior to last week’s bye week to sit at 8-3 on the year.
Tigers Trying To Play Spoiler
Brendon Lewis leads Memphis in passing with 2,395 yards, 13 touchdowns and 6 interceptions while Sutton Smith leads Memphis on the ground with 644 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns so far this season. Lewis has also rushed for 582 yards with 9 TDs and Greg Desrosiers Jr. also has 538 rushing yards and 7 TDs. Cortez Braham Jr. leads Memphis’ receivers with 59 catches for 824 yards and 7 touchdowns while Jamari Hawkins has also chipped in 587 receiving yards as well this season. Sam Brumfield leads Memphis’ defense with 89 total tackles and 4.5 sacks while the Memphis defense as a whole has put up 18 sacks and 12 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Memphis Tigers will win
- Memphis has won each of its last eight Thursday games against conference opponents.
- Navy has lost four of its last five games at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium.
- Navy has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Memphis has covered the spread in five of its last six home games.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Memphis’ last 10 games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Navy’s last four November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Navy Midshipmen vs. Memphis Tigers Prediction
I’m on the over in this one. This game features two offenses that can really move the ball, and Navy’s defense has been extremely susceptible at times this season. On the other side, Memphis’ strength defensively is stopping the run, but the option and Navy’s spread option is hard to prepare for and Navy was able to run all over Memphis when these two teams met last season. I think we have a high-scoring game here so give me the over.
