Cincinnati vs TCU Prediction Football Picks Today 11/29/25

In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati vs TCU Prediction for this College Football Week 14 game on Saturday, November 29^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

TCU Horned Frogs Preview

TCU has a 7-4 record this season and is sitting 9th in the Big 12. They are coming off a 17-14 road win against Houston. Offensively, TCU averages 29.5 points per game, ranking 52nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.4 points per game, which is 74th. TCU averages 414.5 total yards per game (291.5 passing and 123.0 rushing), while allowing 375.3 total yards per game (136.1 rushing and 239.2 passing).

Josh Hoover leads TCU with 3,166 passing yards with 64.7% completed passes and 25 touchdowns. Kevorian Barnes leads the team in rushing yards with 443, while Eric McAlister has a team-high 56 receptions for 1,020 receiving yards. Defensively, Kaleb Elarms-Orr has a team-high 114 total tackles (56 of them solo), while Kaleb Elarms-Orr leads the team in sacks, with 4.0, and Jamel Johnson and Bud Clark lead the team with 4 interceptions each.

Cincinnati Bearcats Preview

Cincinnati has a 7-4 record this season and is sitting 6th in the Big 12. They are coming off a 26-14 home loss against BYU. Offensively, Cincinnati averages 32.5 points per game, ranking 36th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23 points per game, which is 55th. Cincinnati averages 423.5 total yards per game (238.8 passing and 184.7 rushing), while allowing 390.6 total yards per game (167.7 rushing and 222.9 passing).

Brendan Sorsby leads Cincinnati with 2,518 passing yards with 60.7% completed passes and 24 touchdowns. Tawee Walker leads the team in rushing yards with 661, while Cyrus Allen has a team-high 46 receptions for 623 receiving yards. Defensively, Jake Golday has a team-high 102 total tackles (39 of them solo), while Jake Golday leads the team in sacks, with 3.5, and Matthew McDoom leads the team with 1 interception.

Cincinnati Bearcats @ TCU Horned Frogs Betting Trends: Week 14

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

• Cincinnati has lost each of its last nine games in November.
• TCU has won seven of its last eight games at Amon G. Carter Stadium.
• Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in each of its last nine games in November.
• TCU has covered the spread in six of its last seven home games in November.

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

• Cincinnati has won six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• TCU has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.
• Cincinnati has won the first half in six of its last eight games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Cincinnati’s last four road games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of TCU’s last six November games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.

TCU Horned Frogs Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 14, Eric McAlister is one of only five players in the FBS to record 1,000 receiving yards with less than 80 receptions this season.

Cincinnati Bearcats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 14, Brendan Sorsby ranks 1st amongst qualified players for sack percentage (1.3%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• TCU ranks 11th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (291.5).
• TCU ranks T125th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (9.3).
• Cincinnati ranks 136th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (24:22).
• Cincinnati ranks 2nd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (80.0).

Cincinnati vs TCU Prediction

In this Cincinnati vs TCU Prediction, TCU is coming as -3.5-point home favorites. Both teams have identical overall records this season, but TCU has been almost perfect at home with a 4-1 record, while Cincinnati has three consecutive losses. Cincinnati has both a better offense and a better defense, with a +9.5 point differential and have been much better against the spread than TCU, with a 6-4 record this season, so I expect them at least to keep this one close. Take Cincinnati and the +3.5 points in this one.