New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction Football Picks Today 11/29/25

In this article we will formulate a New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 29th at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, New Mexico. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup. 

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies are 4-7 (2-5) this season after they defeated UTEP by a score of 34-31 in their last game. New Mexico State was tied at 21 at halftime, but they trailed 31-27 in the fourth, before scoring a touchdown with 21 seconds left for the win. The Aggies out gained UTEP by a total of 470-399, went 8-16 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Adam Damante went 29-41 for 253 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Dijon Stanley rushed 11 times for 106 yards and one score. Donovan Faupel led the receivers with nine catches for 78 yards and two touchdowns in the win. 

Prior to that game, New Mexico State lost to Tennessee by a score of 42-9 and Kennesaw State by a score of 24-21. The Aggies have lost five of their last six games and they are currently ninth in the CUSA standings. New Mexico State has scored 21.4 points per game with 245.2 passing yards and 76.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.3 points against per game this season. Logan Fife is the starting quarterback, but he is dealing with an injury, so we may see Adam Damante under center. Donovan Faupel has 61 receptions for 661 yards and seven scores this season.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Preview

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 2-9 (1-6) this year after they defeated Sam Houston by a score of 31-17 in their last game. Middle Tennessee trailed 10-0 at halftime, but they scored the next 31 points to pull away for the double-digit win. The Blue Raiders out gained Sam Houston by a total of 460-360, went 5-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Roman Gagliano went 21-34 for 268 yards and one touchdown, while Jekail Middlebrook rushed 15 times for 106 yards. Myles Butler led the receivers with six receptions for 65 yards in the win. 

Prior to that game, Middle Tennessee lost to Western Kentucky by a score of 42-26 and FIU by a score of 56-30. The Blue Raiders have lost seven of their last eight games and they are currently tied for last in the CUSA standings. Middle Tennessee has scored 21.6 points per game with 267.2 passing yards and 96.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 31.5 points against per game this season. Roman Gagliano has thrown for 751 yards, four touchdowns, and zero interceptions, while Jekail Middlebrook has rushed 120 times for 657 yards and four scores this year. 

Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win

• New Mexico State has lost five of its last six games.
• The underdog has covered the spread in seven of New Mexico State’s last eight games at Aggie Memorial Stadium.
• New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as a favorite.

Total Points Facts

• Each of New Mexico State’s last five home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Middle Tennessee’s last five games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• New Mexico State has overturned the largest 1st quarter deficit to win a game this season – 21 points vs UTEP.
• New Mexico State ranks 135th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (76.5).
• Middle Tennessee ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.1).
• Middle Tennessee ranks 130th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (97.0).

New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction 

Both of these teams were able to snap their losing streaks with a win last time out and one side will finish the season on a two game winning streak here. New Mexico State has lost five of their last six games, but one loss came in overtime and one was by just three points. Middle Tennessee has lost seven of their last eight games, but the offense has been decent in their last five. I think these teams are pretty evenly matched, so I am going to take the points with the Blue Raiders on the road. 

David Racey is 140-118 (54%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!