Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos Prediction 11/30/25 NFL Picks Today

The Denver Broncos and the Washington Commanders meet in week 13 NFL action from Northwest Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Denver Broncos vs. Washington Commanders prediction.

Denver Broncos Recap

The Denver Broncos come into this game looking to add on to their 22-19 win over Kansas City last time out to sit at 9-2 this season. After this game, Denver will head on the road for a game against Las Vegas.

Broncos Win 8 In A Row

Bo Nix has thrown for 2,421 yards, 18 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 61.2% passing while J.K. Dobbins has rushed for a team-high 772 yards and 4 touchdowns and RJ Harvey has 244 rushing yards so far this season. Courtland Sutton leads Denver’s receiving group with 45 receptions for 649 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns while Troy Franklin also has 46 receptions for 509 yards and 5 touchdowns. Marvin Mims Jr. also has 234 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Alex Singleton has a team-high 89 total tackles while Nik Bonitto has a team-high 9.5 sacks and Jonathon Cooper has 7.5 sacks. As a unit, Denver’s defense has combined for 49 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Denver Broncos will win

• The Broncos have won each of their last eight games.
• The Commanders have lost each of their last six games.
• The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games.
• The Broncos have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against NFC opponents.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Courtland Sutton has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Broncos’ last five November road games.
• Bo Nix has recorded 242+ passing yards in each of the Broncos’ last five games against NFC opponents.
• Bo Nix has recorded 22+ rushing yards in each of the Broncos’ last four road games against NFC opponents.
• Courtland Sutton has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last six games played on the East Coast.
• Bo Nix has recorded 24+ completions in four of the Broncos’ last five games against NFC opponents.
• Marvin Mims Jr. has recorded 35+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last three November appearances with the Broncos as favorites.
• Heading into Week 13, Wil Lutz has recorded the equal-most made field goals in a single game this season (5 vs Chiefs, Week 11).

Washington Commanders Recap

The Washington Commanders come into this game looking to bounce back from their 16-13 loss at the hands of the Miami Dolphins last time out to sit at 3-8 this season. After this game, Washington will head on the road for a game against the Minnesota Vikings.

Commanders Lose 6 In A Row

Jayden Daniels has thrown for 1,184 yards, 8 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 62.5% passing while Marcus Mariota has thrown for 1,065 yards, 7 touchdowns and 5 INTs on 65.7% passing. Jacory Croskey-Merritt has a team-high 498 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns for the Commanders on the ground. Deebo Samuel leads Washington’s receivers with 53 grabs for 470 yards and 5 touchdowns while Zach Ertz has 387 receiving yards and three more Commanders have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Bobby Wagner has a team-high 107 total tackles in addition to 53 solo tackles and a pair of sacks while Dorance Armstrong has a team-high 5.5 sacks. Von Miller has 5 sacks while Jacob Martin also has 4.5 sacks as well and Mike Sainristil has 3 interceptions. As a unit, Washington’s group has combined for 25 sacks and 5 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Washington Commanders will win

• The Broncos have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites before a Division game.
• The home team has won each of the Broncos’ last six Week 13 games.
• The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as road favorites before a Division game.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in six of the Broncos’ last seven games.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

• Deebo Samuel has scored at least one touchdown in four of his five previous appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Marcus Mariota has recorded 207+ passing yards in four of his last five appearances as a starter.
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of the Commanders’ last eight Sunday games.
• Deebo Samuel has recorded 58+ receiving yards in three of his last four Week 13 appearances.
• Deebo Samuel has recorded 61+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his five previous Week 13 appearances.
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt has four rushing touchdowns through his first five career games – most by any player since De’Von Achane, (2024).

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Commanders’ last nine Sunday home games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Broncos’ last nine Week 13 road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last three Sunday games at Northwest Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Denver Broncos vs. Washington Commanders Prediction

I’m on the Broncos in this one. I think the Commanders sending Jayden Daniels out in what looks like a lost year is kind of interesting, but doing so against this Broncos defense I think is foolish. You have two teams headed in different directions right now and I just have no desire to back Washington in this spot. I’ll side with Denver in a blowout here.