Oklahoma City Thunder (20-1) vs. Golden State Warriors (11-10)
December 2, 2025 11:00 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors +12.5; Over/Under: 221.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Golden State Warriors duke it out at the Chase Center on Tuesday night. Here’s a Warriors vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Warriors vs Thunder Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the benchmark of the league as they’ve won 20 of their first 21 games and they are now on a 12-game win streak after sneaking past the Trail Blazers in a 123-115 road win on Sunday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 26 points and five assists on eight of 15 shooting. Chet Holmgren added 19 points with nine rebounds, Ajay Mitchell tallied 17 points with five assists off the bench, while Jalen Williams chipped in with 16 points, eight rebounds, and five assists.
As a team, the Thunder shot 49 percent from the field and 10 of 29 from the 3-point line as they found themselves in a real battle with the pesky Trail Blazers. They were actually falling behind before they exploded for 38 points in the fourth quarter to get the job done and keep their win streak alive.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been in a rut as they’ve lost four of their last six games overall, but they will be feeling better after they took down the Pelicans in a 104-96 home win on Saturday. Jimmy Butler III led the team with 24 points, eight rebounds and 10 assists on seven of 15 shooting, Gary Payton II added 19 points with 11 rebounds and three assists off the bench while Brandin Podziemski chipped in with 15 points and six assists. As a team, the Warriors shot just 41 percent from the field and 12 of 47 from the 3-point line as they played great defense early on to restrict the Pelicans to just 38 points in the first half. However, the Warriors had an off shooting night and they trailed late in the fourth quarter before they went on a decisive 12-0 run to reclaim the lead for good and improve to 7-2 at home this season.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last nine home games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Thunder have lost four of their last five road games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine road games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games when playing with a rest advantage.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 13 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Warriors have lost each of their last six games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in eight of their last nine night games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games following a home win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Warriors’ last eight games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Thunder’s last six games at Chase Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Moses Moody is one of only 13 players in the league to have made 8+ threes in a game this season.
- Will Richard ranks 2nd amongst qualified rookies for FG% (53.8%) this season.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Chet Holmgren is the only player to have made 9+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for points per game (32.5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (15.9).
- This season, 41.5% of the Warriors’ scoring has come from beyond the three-point line – highest mark in the league.
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (106.7).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+15.5).
Warriors vs Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are still missing Alex Caruso and Isaiah Hartenstein, while the Warriors have ruled out Stephen Curry, Al Horford, De’Anthony Melton and Trayce Jackson-Davis. The Thunder have continued their near-perfect run this season but they have cooled down slightly with their
last three wins being decided by eight points or less. The line is hefty for this matchup but I think it is warranted given that the Warriors are so much easier to defend with Curry on the sidelines. With that being said, I think the Thunder get back to their old habits and earn the big win and cover on the road against this shorthanded Warriors outfit.
