Lions vs Cowboys Prediction 12/4/25 NFL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Lions vs Cowboys prediction for this NFL game on Thursday, December 4th at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup.

Detroit Lions Betting Preview

The Detroit Lions are 7-5 this season after they lost to Green Bay by a score of 31-24 in their last game. Detroit trailed 17-14 at halftime and 31-24 in the fourth, but couldn’t get a stop on fourth down to seal the loss. The Lions were out gained by a total of 359-352, went 8-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Jared Goff went 20-26 for 256 yards and two touchdowns, while Jahmyr Gibbs rushed 20 times for 68 yards. Jameson Williams led the receivers with seven catches for 144 yards and one score in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Detroit defeated the Giants in overtime by a score of 34-27, but lost to the Eagles by a score of 16-9 before that. The Lions have alternated wins and losses over their last eight games and they are currently third in the NFC North standings. Detroit has scored 29.2 points per game with 238.2 passing yards and 138.1 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 22.8 points against per game this season. Jared Goff has thrown for 3,025 yards, 25 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Jahmyr Gibbs has rushed for 1,019 yards and 10 scores on 175 carries this season. 

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

The Dallas Cowboys are 6-5-1 this year after they defeated Kansas City by a score of 31-28 in their last game. Dallas led 17-14 at halftime, but trailed 21-20 in the fourth, before scoring 14 points and escaping with the upset win. The Cowboys out gained KC by a total of 457-362, went 9-16 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Dak Prescott went 27-39 for 320 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Javonte Williams rushed 17 times for 59 yards. CeeDee Lamb led the receivers with seven catches for 112 yards and one score in the win. 

Prior to that game, Dallas defeated the Eagles by a score of 24-21 and the Raiders by a score of 33-16. The Cowboys have won three games in a row and they are currently second in the NFC East standings. Dallas has scored 29.3 points per game with 271.3 passing yards and 121.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 28.5 points against per game this season. Dak Prescott has thrown for 3,261 yards, 25 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while George Pickens has caught 73 passes for 1,142 yards and eight scores this year. 

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The Cowboys have won seven of their last eight Thursday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Lions have lost each of their last six December games against NFC East opponents.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Lions have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Thursday games.
• The Cowboys have won the first half in three of their last four games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• The Cowboys have won the first quarter in each of their last six Week 14 games against NFC opponents.
• The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six Week 14 games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Lions’ last eight home games against NFC East opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Cowboys’ last five games without Jalen Tolbert have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Three of the last four Thursday games at Ford Field have gone OVER the total points line.

Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts

• David Montgomery has scored the first touchdown in five of his six previous December appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored two or more touchdowns in each of the Lions’ last five home games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Jared Goff has recorded 257+ passing yards in each of the Lions’ last seven December games.
• David Montgomery has recorded 39+ rushing yards in each of his 16 previous December appearances against NFC opponents.
• Jared Goff has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Lions’ last six December games as favorites.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last nine games as favorites following a loss.
• David Montgomery has recorded 13+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• David Montgomery has recorded 49+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 16 previous December appearances against NFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 14, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (5.8) this season.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Jalen Tolbert has scored a touchdown in each of the Cowboys’ last five road games against teams that held a winning record.
• CeeDee Lamb has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four December appearances against NFC opponents.
• Javonte Williams has scored two touchdowns in each of the Cowboys’ last three games as road underdogs.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 24+ completions in each of his last five December appearances against NFC opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 271+ passing yards in each of his last four December appearances against NFC opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 11+ rushing yards in each of his last four December road appearances.
• CeeDee Lamb has recorded 89+ receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last five Thursday road games.
• CeeDee Lamb has recorded 100+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last five Thursday road games.
• Heading into Week 14, Dak Prescott ranks 2nd in the NFL in passing yards (3261) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Lions – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
• Lions – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
• Heading into Week 14, the Cowboys rank 1st in the NFL in yards per game (393.1) this season.
• Heading into Week 14, the Cowboys rank 1st in the NFL in passing yards per game (271.3) this season.

Lions vs Cowboys Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup continuing to struggle with injuries, which has caused them to be super inconsistent over the last two months. The Lions have allowed at least 27 points in three of their last five games and their high-powered offense has been slowed down due to terrible play by the OL. Dallas has won three games in a row and they have scored 31, 24, and 33 during that span. The Cowboys defense has shown improvement and their offense has one of the best passing attacks in the NFL. This should be another great Thursday night game, but I can’t lay points with Detroit right now. Take Dallas to cover on the road in this one. 

David Racey is 79-58 (58%) in the NFL this season and he is currently #2 on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!