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Stars vs Sharks Prediction 12/5/25 NHL Picks Today

San Jose Sharks (13-12-3) vs. Dallas Stars (18-5-5)
December 5, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars -278 / San Jose Sharks 225; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Jose Sharks and Dallas Stars meet Friday in NHL action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Stars vs Sharks Prediction. This article will include a Stars vs Sharks Pick.

San Jose Sharks Betting Preview

The San Jose Sharks lost to the Capitals, beat the Mammoth, and they play the Mammoth next. The Sharks have split their last 12 games.

The San Jose Sharks are averaging 2.86 goals per game and are scoring 19.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Macklin Celebrini leads San Jose with 14 goals, Will Smith has 15 assists and Tyler Toffoli has 57 shots on goal. Defensively, the San Jose Sharks are allowing 3.32 goals per game and are killing 81.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Yaroslav Askarov has given up 53 goals on 545 shots faced, and Alex Nedeljkovic has allowed 36 goals on 338 shots.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars lost to the Rangers, beat the Devils, and they play the Penguins next. The Stars have won 10 of their last 13 games.

The Dallas Stars are averaging 3.43 goals per game and are scoring on 31.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Jason Robertson leads Dallas with 17 goals, Mikko Rantanen has 23 assists and Wyatt Johnston has 80 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.57 goals per game and are killing 80.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 47 goals on 502 shots faced, while Casey DeSmith has given up 22 goals on 278 shots.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The Stars have won each of their last seven home games following a road win.
  • The Sharks have lost 11 of their last 12 games at American Airlines Center.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in nine of the Sharks’ last 11 games.
  • The Sharks have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four road games.
  • The Sharks have lost the third period in each of their last seven games as underdogs against Central Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Why the San Jose Sharks will win

  • The Sharks have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Stars have lost five of their last seven games as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven home games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Sharks have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games following a loss.
  • The Sharks have won the first period in five of their last six night games following a loss.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Sharks’ last five road games following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Stars’ last four games against the Sharks following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the last 10 games between the Sharks and Stars.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sharks’ last seven games against Western Conference opponents.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last four home games.
  • Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Stars’ last 10 home games.
  • Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last eight home games against Western Conference opponents.
  • Wyatt Johnston ranks T1st in the league for Power Play Points (18) this season.

San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts

  • William Smith has scored at least one goal in each of the Sharks’ last three games against Western Conference opponents.
  • Dmitry Orlov has recorded an assist in five of the Sharks’ last six night games.
  • Macklin Celebrini has recorded at least one point in nine of the Sharks’ last 10 games against Central Division opponents.
  • Macklin Celebrini ranks T1st in the league for Assists (26) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dallas Stars rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.57).
  • The Dallas Stars rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (31.52%).
  • The San Jose Sharks rank 32nd in the league for shots per game this season (24.4).
  • The San Jose Sharks rank 32nd in the league for shots against per game this season (31.8).

Stars vs Sharks Prediction

The Sharks haven’t had a lot of success on the road, and I doubt that changes against a Stars team that’s beat them in 8 of the last 10 games. The Sharks haven’t won a game against the Stars since January 2023. The Stars have been one of the hottest teams in hockey over the last few weeks, and they have a massive edge defensively in this matchup. The Sharks are allowing an average of 4.4 goals in their last 5 games. Not ideal. I have to side with the Stars in this contest, and of course I’ll lay the PL to shave down the juice.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Dallas Stars -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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