Thunder vs Suns Prediction 12/10/25 NBA Picks Today

The Phoenix Suns and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs Suns Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Suns Pick.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns beat the Timberwolves, lost to the Rockets, and they play the Warriors next. The Suns have split their last 8 games.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 115.9 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 113.5 points on 47.8 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 25 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Dillon Brooks is averaging 22.1 points and 3.1 rebounds. Grayson Allen is the third double-digit scorer and Jalen Green is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Jazz and Mavericks, and then play the Clippers next. The Thunder have won 27 of their last 28 regular season games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 123 points on 49.7 percent shooting and allowing 106.9 points on 42.8 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.8 points and 6.4 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.6 points and 8.1 rebounds. Jalen Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 84.5 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 16 home games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Suns have lost each of their last 14 road games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 14 road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against the Suns.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The Suns have won four of their last six games as road underdogs.
• The Suns have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games when playing with a rest advantage.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the Suns’ last 10 road games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Thunder’s last seven games as home favorites against the Suns have gone OVER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Cason Wallace ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.3) this season.
• Chet Holmgren is the only player to have made 9+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.

Phoenix Suns Player Facts

• Mark Williams ranks 4th amongst qualified players for FG% (65.8%) this season.
• Grayson Allen is one of only five players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (106.9).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+16.2).
• The Suns rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.8).
• The Suns have suffered the largest comeback loss when leading through Q3 this season – led by 18 points vs Hawks on November 16.

Thunder vs Suns Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Isaiah Joe, and Isaiah Hartenstein.

Jalen Green is out for the Suns due to a hamstring injury. Isaiah Livers is also out. Devin Booker is questionable with a groin issue.

Thunder vs Suns Prediction

I’d love to know the status of Booker before betting this game, as he makes a world of difference for the Suns. The Thunder are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games against the Suns, which includes a 4-point win a couple of weeks ago. However, while OKC continues to win at a record pace, it’s just 13-11 ATS on the season. These aren’t your Thunder from the past two years that were cover machines.

The Suns are 15-8-1 ATS on the season and 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. Hopefully Booker plays, but either way, the Suns make us money, and this feels like too many points in a tournament game regardless. Give me the points.