Boise State vs St. Mary’s Prediction 12/14/25 College Basketball Picks Today
St. Mary's (9-1) vs. Boise State (7-3)
December 14, 2025 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boise State +3.5; Over/Under: 135.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Boise State vs St. Mary’s prediction for this College Basketball game on Sunday, December 14th at the Mountain America Center in Idaho Falls, Idaho. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
The Boise State Broncos are 7-3 this season after they defeated Duquesne by a score of 86-64 in their last game. Boise State led 45-30 at halftime and added 41 points in the second half for the easy win. The Broncos shot 47% from the field, 57% on three pointers, and 90% on free throws in the game. Pearson Carmichael led Boise State with 26 points and six rebounds, while Drew Felder added 23 points and three rebounds in the win.
Prior to that game, Boise State defeated Butler by a score of 77-68 and Chaminade by a score of 102-76. The Broncos have scored 79.0 points per game with 39.0 rebounds and 14.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 69.7 points against per game this season. Drew Felder is averaging 13.6 points and 5.4 rebounds per game, while Andrew Meadow is averaging 12.7 points and 4.2 rebounds per game for the Broncos. Boise State is shooting 44.3% from the field, 76.6% on free throws, and 35.7% on three pointers this season.
St. Mary’s Gaels Betting Preview
The St. Mary’s Gaels are 9-1 this year after they defeated Davidson by a score of 70-61 in their last game. St. Mary’s led 27-24 at halftime and scored 43 points in the second half to seal the win. The Gaels shot 46% from the field, 27% on three pointers, and 65% on free throws in the game. Joshua Dent led St. Mary’s with 21 points and five assists, while Andrew McKeever added 15 points and 13 rebounds in the win.
Prior to that game, St. Mary’s lost to Vanderbilt by a score of 96-71, but did beat Virginia Tech by a score of 77-66 before that. The Gaels have scored 81.0 points per game with 41.3 rebounds and 14.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 63.5 points against per game this season. Paulius Murauskas is averaging 18.0 points and 6.8 rebounds per game, while Mikey Lewis is averaging 16.8 points per game and 3.6 rebounds per game for the Gaels. St. Mary’s is shooting 48.1% from the field, 79.6% on free throws, and 39.7% on three pointers this year.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Saint Mary’s has lost three of its last four games against the Mountain West Conference at neutral venues.
- Boise State has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win
- Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Boise State has lost each of its last three games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues.
- Saint Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Twelve of Boise State’s last 13 day games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 137+ points.
- Nine of Saint Mary’s’ last 10 games against the Mountain West Conference at neutral venues have produced a total of 133 or fewer points.
Boise State vs St. Mary’s Prediction
St. Mary’s comes into this matchup with a 9-1 record to start the year, with their lone loss coming to Vanderbilt two games ago. The Gaels are shooting 48% from the field this year and they have allowed 66 points or fewer in four of their last five. Boise State has won three games in a row and they are shooting 44% from the field. The Broncos have scored at least 77 points in three straight games and I have been very impressed with their last two victories. Take the Broncos and the points here.