Jets vs Saints Prediction 12/21/25 NFL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Jets vs Saints Prediction for this NFL Week 13 game on Sunday, December 21^st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

New Orleans Saints Preview

The New Orleans Saints have a 4-10 record this season and are sitting fourth in the NFC South. They are 6-8 ATS, 4-9-1 in Over/Under and have a 2-5 home record and a 2-5 away record. The Saints are coming off a 20-17 home win against the Carolina Panthers and will face the Jets, Titans and Falcons next.

Offensively, the Saints average 16.1 points per game, ranking 29th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.7 points per game, which is 19th. New Orleans averages 296.9 total yards per game (203.4 passing and 93.4 rushing), while allowing 311.2 total yards per game (130.6 rushing and 180.6 passing).

Spencer Rattler leads the Saints with 1586 passing yards with 67.7% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Alvin Kamara leads the team in rushing yards with 471, while Chris Olave has a team-high 82 receptions for 896 receiving yards, and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Demario Davis has a team-high 123 total tackles (61 of them solo), while Cameron Jordan leads the team in sacks, with 6.5, while Kool-Aid McKinstry leads the team with 3 interceptions.

New York Jets Preview

The New York Jets have a 3-11 record this season and are sitting fourth in the AFC East. They are 8-6 ATS, 9-5 in Over/Under and have a 2-6 home record and a 1-5 away record. The Jets are coming off a 20-48 away loss against the Jacksonville Jaguars and will face the Patriots and Bills next.

Offensively, the Jets average 19.7 points per game, ranking 27th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 28.4 points per game, which is 30th. New York averages 275.5 total yards per game (147 passing and 128.5 rushing), while allowing 337.4 total yards per game (137.2 rushing and 200.2 passing).

Justin Fields leads the Jets with 1259 passing yards with 62.7% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Breece Hall leads the team in rushing yards with 900, while Garrett Wilson has a team-high 36 receptions for 395 receiving yards, and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Jamien Sherwood has a team-high 129 total tackles (58 of them solo), while Will McDonald leads the team in sacks, with 7.0, while no player has an interception.

New York Jets @ New Orleans Saints Betting Trends: Week 16

Why the New Orleans Saints will win

• The Jets have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Saints have won eight of their last nine games against AFC East opponents on a losing streak.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight December games against NFC opponents.
• The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last four games without Alvin Kamara.
• The Jets have lost the first quarter in five of their last six road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Saints have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
• The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last eight road games in December.

Why the New York Jets will win

• The Saints have lost each of their last eight games without Taysom Hill.
• The underdogs have won four of the Saints’ last five games.
• The Saints have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Saints’ last five games.
• The Saints have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Jets have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven Week 16 games.
• The Saints have lost the first half in eight of their last nine games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Saints’ last six home games in December have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Nine of the Jets’ last 10 games without Jermaine Johnson have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last five Sunday games at Caesars Superdome have gone UNDER the total points line.

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Shough has recorded 239+ passing yards in four of the Saints’ last five games.
• Chris Olave has recorded 70+ receiving yards in each of his last five appearances following a win.
• Alvin Kamara has recorded 89+ rushing and receiving yards in 15 of his 16 previous appearances with the Saints as favorites against AFC opponents.
• Alvin Kamara has scored a touchdown in each of the Saints’ last four games as favorites against AFC East opponents.
• Alvin Kamara has recorded 54+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Saints as favorites against AFC opponents.
• Tyler Shough has recorded 24+ completions in three of the Saints’ last four games.
• Heading into Week 16, Kool-Aid McKinstry has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Giants, Week 5).

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Allen Lazard has recorded 19+ receiving yards in each of his five previous December road appearances against NFC opponents.
• Khalil Herbert has recorded 58+ rushing and receiving yards in three of his four previous appearances against NFC South opponents.
• Breece Hall has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his nine previous appearances in road day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 21+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 172+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 19+ completions in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
• Breece Hall has recorded the equal-most touchdown passes (1) of any player yet to record an interception.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 16, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in 4th down percentage (34.5%) this season.
• Heading into Week 16, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in red zone percentage (43.2%) this season.
• Jets – 16 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.
• Jets – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 16.

Jets vs Saints Prediction

In this Jets vs Saints Prediction, the Saints are coming as -4.5-point home favorites. Both teams have been struggling mightily this season, having just four and three wins in 14 games played, but the Saints have managed to ride a small two-game winning streak and are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games. On the flip side, the Jets are 1-4 in their last 5 games and have been terrible on the road, with just one win in six road games played. They have the third-worst defense in the league and I don’t think they will pose a threat on the road. Take the Saints and lay the -4.5 points at home in this one.