Texas Tech vs Duke Prediction 12/20/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Duke (11-0) vs. Texas Tech (8-3)
December 20, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Tech +8.5; Over/Under: 152.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Duke Blue Devils and Texas Tech Red Raiders meet Saturday in the college basketball action at Madison Square Garden. Here’s a Texas Tech vs Duke Prediction. This article will include a Texas Tech vs Duke Pick.
Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview
The Duke Blue Devils beat Michigan State and Lipscomb, and they play Georgia Tech next. Duke has won 11 straight games.
The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 87.8 points on 50.2 percent shooting and allowing 60.9 points on 34.6 percent shooting. Cameron Boozer is averaging 23.3 points and 10.2 rebounds, while Isaiah Evans is averaging 12.5 points and 3.2 rebounds. Patrick Ngongba II is the third double-digit scorer and Caleb Foster is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Duke Blue Devils are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 71.5 percent from the free throw line. The Duke Blue Devils are allowing 27 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.5 rebounds per game.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview
The Texas Tech Red Raiders lost to Arkansas, beat Northern Colorado, and they play Winthrop next. Texas Tech has won 4 of its last 5 games.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are averaging 83.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 74 points on 45.4 percent shooting. JT Toppin is averaging 21.9 points and 2 assists, while Christian Anderson is averaging 19.3 points and 3.5 rebounds. LeJuan Watts is the third double-digit scorer and Donovan Atwell is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc and 66.8 percent from the free throw line. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win
- Texas Tech has won each of its last eight Saturday night games against non-Conference opponents.
- Texas Tech has won the first half in eight of its last nine December games as an AP-ranked team.
Why the Duke Blue Devils will win
- Duke has won each of its last 21 December games as a top-5 AP-ranked team.
- Texas Tech has lost each of its last nine games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
- Duke has won the first half in each of its last 10 night games as a top-5 AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas Tech’s last 10 night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
- Twelve of Duke’s last 13 games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
Texas Tech vs Duke Prediction
Texas Tech is just 3-7-1 ATS on the season, while Duke is 7-4 ATS on the season. Duke fans usually travel to well to MSG as well, while Texas Tech fans are probably more occupied with the CFB playoff in a couple of weeks. Duke should be favored, but this is still a lot of points for a Texas Tech side that can score the ball and will have one of the best players on the court.
Since January 2022, Texas Tech is 11-5-1 ATS when an underdog of 5 or more points. Texas Tech is not a pushover, and you’re not going to get these sorts of lines often with the Red Raiders. Should be a good one that comes down to the final five minutes. Give me the points.