Miami (OH) Redhawks (7-6) vs. Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4)
December 27, 2025 4:30 pm EDT
The Line: Fresno State Bulldogs -5.5 / Miami (OH) Redhawks 5.5; Over/Under: 41.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Fresno State vs Miami (OH) prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, December 27th at Arizona Stadium in Tucson, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this matchup in bowl season.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Fresno State Bulldogs are 8-4 this season after they defeated San Jose State by a score of 41-14 in their last game. Fresno State led 21-7 at halftime and they scored 20 points in the second half to pull away in the blowout win. The Bulldogs out gained SJSU by a total of 397-227, went 4-16 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 5-3 in the game. EJ Warner went 15-20 for 138 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Elijah Gilliam rushed nine times for 92 yards and two scores. Josiah Freeman led the receivers with six catches for 76 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that game, Fresno State lost to Utah State by a score of 28-17, but did beat Wyoming by a score of 24-3 before that. The Bulldogs have won three of their last four games and they finished tied for fifth in the Mountain West standings. Fresno State has scored 26.4 points per game with 180.4 passing yards and 169.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 20.1 points against per game this season. EJ Warner has thrown for 1,811 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while Rayshon Luke has rushed for 688 yards and six scores on 108 carries this season.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Preview
The Miami (OH) RedHawks are 7-6 (6-2) this year after they lost to Western Michigan by a score of 23-13 in their last game. Miami (OH) scored to cut the deficit to 7-6 early in the first quarter, but they allowed the next 16 points and never recovered in the loss. The RedHawks were out gained by a total of 397-272, went 6-15 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Henry Hesson went 7-20 for 107 yards and one touchdown, while Jordan Brunson rushed 14 times for 59 yards and one score. Kam Perry led the receivers with seven receptions for 101 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, Miami (OH) defeated Ball State by a score of 45-24 and Buffalo by a score of 37-20. The RedHawks have lost three of their last five games and they finished tied for second in the MAC standings. Miami (OH) has scored 25.2 points per game with 196.2 passing yards and 152.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 22.0 points against per game this season. Thomas Gotkowski is expected to start at quarterback and he has thrown for 503 yards and four touchdowns, while Jordan Brunson has rushed for 724 yards and four scores on 155 carries this year.
Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win
- The favorite has won each of Miami (OH)’s last 14 games.
- Miami (OH) has lost each of its last six games as an underdog.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of Miami (OH)’s last 12 games.
- Miami (OH) has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as an underdog.
- Fresno State has won the first quarter in each of its last five games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues.
- Fresno State has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
- Four of Fresno State’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Miami (OH)’s last three games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Fresno State ranks T4th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (19).
- Fresno State ranks 8th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (160.5).
- Miami (OH) ranks T16th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (14).
- Miami (OH) ranks 111th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (34.8).
Fresno State vs Miami (OH) Prediction
Fresno State comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have allowed 14 points or fewer in all three of those wins. The Bulldogs are missing a few defenders, but their offense is mostly intact. Miami (OH) made it to the MAC Title game, but their offense has been a mess even since Finn left the team in mid-November. Both teams have very solid defenses, but I think Fresno State’s quarterback situation will be the difference. Take the Bulldogs to cover.
David Racey is 174-146 (54%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. David went 5-1 in College Football on Saturday. Click here for his premium plays for the week!
