North Carolina vs Florida State Prediction 12/30/25 College Basketball Picks Today

The Florida State Seminoles and North Carolina Tar Heels meet Tuesday in the college basketball action at the Dean E. Smith Center. Here’s a North Carolina vs Florida State Prediction. This article will include a North Carolina vs Florida State Pick.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles beat Miss Valley State and Jacksonville, and they play Duke next. Florida State has split its last 12 games.

The Florida State Seminoles are averaging 85 points on 42.2 percent shooting and allowing 78.4 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Robert McCray V is averaging 13.5 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Chauncey Wiggins is averaging 12 points and 4.3 rebounds. Lajae Jones is the third double-digit scorer and Kobe MaGee is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Florida State Seminoles are shooting 31.4 percent from beyond the arc and 71.5 percent from the free throw line. The Florida State Seminoles are allowing 32.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game.

North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Preview

The North Carolina Tar Heels beat Ohio State and East Carolina, and they play SMU next. North Carolina has won 12 of its last 13 games.

The North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 81.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 63.6 points on 36.2 percent shooting. Caleb Wilson is averaging 19.6 points and 10.8 rebounds, while Henri Veesaar is averaging 16.8 points and 9.2 rebounds. Seth Trimble is the third double-digit scorer and Luka Bogavac is grabbing 3 rebounds. The North Carolina Tar Heels are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 68.4 percent from the free throw line. The North Carolina Tar Heels are allowing 28 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.2 rebounds per game.

Why the North Carolina Tar Heels will win

• North Carolina has won each of its last 15 games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at Dean E. Smith Center.
• Florida State has lost each of its last 10 games against AP-ranked opponents.
• North Carolina has won the first half in each of its last 22 games at Dean E. Smith Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

• Florida State has won each of its last three games against teams with an AP Ranking of 12.
• Florida State has won the first half in three of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of North Carolina’s last 10 games have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
• Twenty-eight of Florida State’s last 29 night games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 161 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• North Carolina ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (36.2%).
• North Carolina ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (63.5).
• Florida State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (36.2).
• Florida State ranks T4th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (67.8).

North Carolina vs Florida State Prediction

Florida State has looked awful whenever stepping up in competition, and we can’t ignore the loss to UMass as a double-digit favorite. Florida State has issues stringing together consistent offense, and the defense suffers at times as well. I’m just not confident that Florida State can hang with decent or good teams. North Carolina has checked a lot of boxes this season, is above average at both ends of the floor, and is a profitable 8-5 ATS on the season.

These teams are in completely different classes. North Carolina is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games as a double-digit favorite. Florida State is 4-7 ATS in its last 11 games as a double-digit underdog. Give me UNC in a home beat down.