Stars vs Sabres Prediction 12/31/25 NHL Picks Today
Buffalo Sabres (20-14-4) vs. Dallas Stars (25-7-7)
December 31, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars -162 / Buffalo Sabres 136; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Buffalo Sabres and Dallas Stars meet Wednesday in NHL action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Stars vs Sabres Prediction. This article will include a Stars vs Sabres Pick.
Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview
The Buffalo Sabres beat the Bruins and Blues, and they play the Blue Jackets next. The Sabres have won 9 straight games.
The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 3.08 goals per game and are scoring 19.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Tage Thompson leads Buffalo with 18 goals, Rasmus Dahlin has 24 assists, and Josh Doan has 95 shots on goal. Defensively, the Buffalo Sabres are allowing 3.16 goals per game and are killing 84.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Alex Lyon has given up 54 goals on 577 shots faced, and Colten Ellis has allowed 24 goals on 228 shots.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars lost to the Red Wings and Blackhawks, and they play the Blackhawks next. The Stars have split their last 8 games.
The Dallas Stars are averaging 3.49 goals per game and are scoring on 30.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Jason Robertson leads Dallas with 23 goals, Mikko Rantanen has 39 assists and Wyatt Johnston has 98 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.62 goals per game and are killing 82.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 63 goals on 698 shots faced, while Casey DeSmith has given up 33 goals on 389 shots.
Why the Dallas Stars will win
- The Sabres have lost each of their last five road games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Stars have won each of their last four games following a shootout loss.
- The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Stars have covered the puck line in four of their last five home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Stars have won the second period in each of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the first period.
Why the Buffalo Sabres will win
- The Sabres have won each of their last 10 games following a road win.
- The Stars have lost two of their last three games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight home games after coming off a shootout.
- The Sabres have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games following a road win.
- The Sabres have won the third period in eight of their last 10 games following a road win.
Total Goals Facts
- Seven of the Stars’ last eight games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Sabres’ last four games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Seven of the last eight Wednesday night games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 13 games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last 10 games following a road win.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Mikko Rantanen has scored a goal in each of his last six home appearances against the Sabres.
- Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last six games.
- Mikko Rantanen ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (12) this season.
Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts
- Joshua Norris has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances against the Stars.
- Ryan McLeod has recorded an assist in each of the Sabres’ last six road games.
- Joshua Norris has a career average of 1.0 goals per game against the Stars – equal-highest against any opponent.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.49).
- The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (30.58%).
- The Buffalo Sabres rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.76%).
- The Buffalo Sabres rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (16).
Stars vs Sabres Prediction
The Stars should be favored on their home ice, and they’ve won 6 of the last 8 games against the Sabres. However, we’re getting plus money with a Sabres team that’s won 9 straight games. The Sabres haven’t lost since December 8, and they’re playing high level hockey at both ends of the ice. Now the Sabres are one of those teams that lets me down once I start to believe and this run will end eventually. Still I’m going to ride the hot hand until the tickets stop cashing, especially when getting the more favorable price. Give me the Sabres.