Bears vs Packers Prediction 1/10/26 NFL Picks Today
Green Bay Packers (9-7-1) vs. Chicago Bears (11-6)
January 10, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Bears +1.5; Over/Under: 44.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears meet Saturday in the NFL Wild Card at Soldier Field. Here’s a Bears vs Packers Prediction. This article will include a Bears vs Packers Pick.
Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
The Green Bay Packers lost to the Ravens and Vikings. The Packers have lost 4 straight games. Jordan Love is completing 66.3 percent of his passes for 3,381 yards, 23 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs have combined for 1,335 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Tucker Kraft has 32 receptions.
The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 119.8 yards per contest, and Josh Jacobs leads the way with 929 yards and 13 touchdowns. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 21.2 points and 311.8 yards per game. Quay Walker leads the Green Bay Packers with 128 tackles, Rashan Gary has 7.5 sacks and Evan Williams has 3 interceptions.
Chicago Bears Betting Preview
The Chicago Bears lost to the 49ers and Lions. The Chicago Bears have split their last 6 games. Caleb Williams is completing 58.1 percent of his passes for 3,942 yards, 27 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. DJ Moore and Colston Loveland have combined for 1,395 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Rome Odunze has 44 receptions.
The Chicago Bears ground game is averaging 144.5 yards per contest, and D’Andre Swift leads the way with 1,087 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Chicago is allowing 24.4 points and 361.8 yards per game. Tremaine Edmunds leads the Chicago Bears with 112 tackles, Montez Sweat has 10 sacks and Kevin Byard III has 7 interceptions.
Why the Chicago Bears will win
- The Packers have lost six of their last eight games as favorites without Jordan Love.
- The Bears have won four of their last six games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games without Christian Watson.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Packers’ last five postseason games.
- The Bears have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Bears have won the first quarter in five of their last six January games as underdogs against NFC North opponents.
- The Packers have lost the first half in each of their last four games in January.
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Packers have won each of their last 11 games as road favorites against the Bears.
- The Bears have lost each of their last six games against NFC North opponents on a losing streak.
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine January games as underdogs.
- The Packers have covered the spread in nine of their last 11 games as road favorites against the Bears.
- The Packers have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games against the Bears.
- The Packers have won the first quarter in three of their last four road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Packers have won the first half in 10 of their last 11 games at Soldier Field against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Packers’ last five road games without Emanuel Wilson have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Bears’ last five home games against NFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last four games between NFC North teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
- D’Andre Swift has scored the last touchdown in three of his four previous January home appearances.
- D’Andre Swift has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Bears’ last five games as underdogs against teams that held a winning record.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 33+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last four games as home underdogs against NFC North opponents.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 210+ passing yards in each of the Bears’ last six home games against NFC North opponents.
- Cole Kmet has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last six games.
- D’Andre Swift has recorded 78+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last six games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 19+ completions in each of the Bears’ last six home games against NFC North opponents.
- Kevin Byard ranked 1st in the NFL in interceptions (7) during the reg. season.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Josh Jacobs has scored the last touchdown in four of his last five appearances with the Packers as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Emanuel Wilson has recorded 16+ rushing yards in each of the Packers’ last four games following a loss.
- Jordan Love has recorded 224+ passing yards in five of the Packers’ last six road games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
- Romeo Doubs has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last five games as road favorites.
- Jordan Love has recorded 20+ completions in each of the Packers’ last three road games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
- Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers’ last seven games as favorites against teams that held a winning record.
- Christian Watson has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six road appearances against NFC North opponents.
- Daniel Whelan ranked 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (51.7) during the reg. season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Bears – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Wild Card Round.
- Bears – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Wild Card Round.
- Packers – seven different players have recorded multi-touchdown games this season – most in the NFL, heading into the Wild Card Round.
- Packers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Wild Card Round.
Bears vs Packers Prediction
The Packers have a long history of owning the Bears, so you can just assume they’ll find a way in this playoff game. However, the Packers are banged up and limping into the postseason, as the defense has fallen off since the Parsons injury, and they haven’t won a game in over a month.
The Bears aren’t sexy, but they run the ball successfully, which is a major key to winning playoff games. Also, despite the domination over the last decade or so, it’s the Bears that have won 2 of the last 3 games against the Packers, which includes an overtime win a few weeks ago. The tide is turning? since September 21, the Bears are 5-3 SU and ATS as an underdog. I like the Bears to win this game outright.