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Heat vs Bulls Prediction 2/1/26 NBA Picks Today

Chicago Bulls (24-25) vs. Miami Heat (26-24)
February 1, 2026 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -3.5; Over/Under: 236.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Chicago Bulls and Miami Heat meet Sunday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Bulls Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Bulls Pick.

Chicago Bulls Betting Preview

The Chicago Bulls split with the Heat, lost to the Pacers, and they play the Bucks next. The Bulls have won 15 of their last 26 games.

The Chicago Bulls are averaging 117.6 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 119.7 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Coby White is averaging 18.6 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Josh Giddey is averaging 18.6 points and 8.8 assists. Nikola Vucevic is the third double-digit scorer and Matas Buzelis is grabbing 5.4 rebounds. The Chicago Bulls are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Chicago Bulls are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.3 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat split with the Bulls, lost to the Magic, and they play the Hawks next. The Heat have split their last 6 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.8 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 118.3 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.9 points and 2.7 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won each of their last nine games against the Bulls after losing as favorites.
  • The Bulls have lost each of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back after winning as underdogs.
  • The Bulls have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back after winning as underdogs.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Chicago Bulls will win

  • The Bulls have won each of their last six games as underdogs against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
  • The Heat have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Bulls have covered the spread in 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against Central Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of the Bulls’ last nine games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Six of the Heat’s last seven home games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.8%).
  • The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.8).
  • The Bulls rank 29th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.4).
  • The Bulls rank 29th in the league for H2 opponent points per game this season (59.8).

Heat vs Bulls Injury Report

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier, Norman Powell, and Tyler Herro. Davion Mitchell is doubtful.

The Bulls will be without Noa Essengue, Zach Collins, and Tre Jones. Emanuel Miller, Jalen Smith, Nikola Vucevic, Coby White, and Josh Giddey are questionable.

Heat vs Bulls Prediction

The Heat and Bulls are playing each other for a third straight time, so there shouldn’t be any surprises, and these teams are probably sick of each other by now. At home and with the health edge, the Heat should be favored. However, the Heat have been hot and cold all season, and I have no idea what to expect game to game. We also just saw the Heat lose to the Bulls despite Chicago missing several key players. Nothing surprises me with this Heat team night to night, but I’m not thrilled to lay points with them. So, it’s Bulls or pass. The Heat are an annoying team to figure out.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Chicago Bulls +3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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