Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction 2/25/26 NBA Picks Today
Golden State Warriors (30-28) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (21-35)
February 25, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Grizzlies +3.5; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies meet Wednesday in NBA action at the FedExForum. Here’s a Grizzlies vs. Warriors prediction. This article will include a Grizzlies vs. Warriors pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors lost to the Pelicans and beat the Nuggets, and they’ll play the Lakers next. The Warriors have lost 7 of their last 11 games.
The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.5 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 113.7 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.2 points and 4.8 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 12 points and 3.5 assists. De’Anthony Melton is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 80.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Heat and Kings and play the Mavs next. The Grizzlies have lost 6 of their last 7 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 115.5 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 117.8 points on 47 percent shooting. Ty Jerome is averaging 19.3 points and 2.7 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 19.5 points and 8.1 assists. Santi Aldama is the third double-digit scorer, and Cedric Coward is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Warriors have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The home team has won 17 of the last 19 games between the Warriors and Grizzlies.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Grizzlies.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 home games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 13 games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The favorites have won each of the last nine games between the Warriors and Grizzlies.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in four of their last five road games following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Warriors’ last seven games as favorites against the Grizzlies have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the last eight games between the Warriors and Grizzlies have gone OVER the total points line.
Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts
- Cam Spencer ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (93.3%) this season.
- Ty Jerome leads all Grizzlies players for points per 36 minutes (33.8) this season.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Brandin Podziemski has recorded 14+ rebounds in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Draymond Green is one of only eight qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.7) and assists (5.1) per game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Eleven different Grizzlies players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
- The Grizzlies are one of only two teams to record four or more wins when trailing by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.4).
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (45.4).
Grizzlies vs Warriors Injury Report
The Grizzlies will be without Brandon Clarke, Zach Edey, Ja Morant, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward, and Santi Aldama. Kyle Anderson is doubtful.
The Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porzingis, LJ Cryer, Seth Curry, and Stephen Curry. Draymond Green, Al Horford, and De’Anthony Melton are questionable.
Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction
I don’t want to back the Grizzlies as much as the next guy. However, we’re getting free buckets with the rest of the team at home. The Warriors are banged up and on the end of a back-to-back. The Warriors have failed to cover 7 of their last 10 games, and they’ve lost 17 times on the road. The Warriors and Grizzlies met earlier this month in San Francisco, and it was a one-point loss despite Memphis being a nine-point dog. The Grizzlies have covered 6 of their last 9 games for what it’s worth. If forced to pick, give me the points.


