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Arizona vs Iowa State Prediction 3/2/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Iowa State (24-5) vs. Arizona (27-2)
March 2, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona -8.5; Over/Under: 147.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Iowa State Cyclones and the Arizona Wildcats meet Monday in college basketball action from McKale Center in Tucson. Here’s an Arizona vs Iowa State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Arizona vs Iowa State pick.

Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview

Iowa State managed to take victories in each of their first 16 games for a nice opening this season. Following defeats versus Kansas and Cincinnati, the Cyclones beat UCF, Oklahoma State, Colorado, Kansas State and Baylor. After that came a 3-2 run with wins over Kansas, Houston and Utah. Over the first 28 games of the year that would give the Cyclones a 24-4 run.

In game 29 versus Texas Tech on Saturday, Iowa State was in major trouble by halftime, trailing by a 45-29 margin. The Cyclones got better in the second half on a 44-37 run but it wasn’t nearly enough to make the comeback in an 82-73 loss in the end on their home court. Leading the charge in the defeat wast Joshua Jefferson with 22 points, five rebounds, five assists and five steals.

Arizona Wildcats Betting Preview

Over on the Arizona side, they opened up the season year with a very nice run. In their first 23 games, Arizona took out Florida, Utah Tech, Northern Arizona, UCLA, UConn, Denver, Norfolk State, Auburn, Alabama, Abilene Christian, San Diego State, Bethune-Cookman, South Dakota State, Utah, Kansas State, TCU, Arizona State, UCF, Cincinnati, BYU, Arizona State and Oklahoma State. After losses to Kansas and Texas Tech, the Wildcats won three straight for a 26-2 run in 28 games.

Matched up against Kansas over the weekend, the Wildcats had a comfortable lead at the break 39-28. Arizona kept it going in the second half on a 45-33 run and took the eventual victory on their home court 45-33. Leading the team in scoring was Brayden Burries with 20 points, 12 rebounds and five assists. Motiejus Krivas also doubled up on 13 points with 10 rebounds in the victory.

Iowa State Cyclones @ Arizona Wildcats Betting Trends: March 2, 2026

 

Why the Arizona Wildcats will win

  • Arizona has won each of its last 13 night games at McKale Memorial Center.
  • Iowa State has lost each of its last six Monday road games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
  • Arizona has won the first half in each of its last 15 Monday games as an AP-ranked team.

Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win

  • Iowa State has won each of its last four games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a top-15 AP-ranked team.
  • Arizona has lost each of its last three games as a top-3 AP-ranked team against a top-10 AP-ranked team.
  • Arizona has lost the first half in each of its last four March games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a top-15 AP-ranked team.

Arizona vs Iowa State Prediction

I’ll lean toward Iowa State. A little bit of the luster has worn off this one after the Cyclones’ loss, but I think they can pull it off if they bounce back well. Iowa State played poorly in the first half of their home loss to Texas Tech, shooting just 39 percent from the field overall with a 34-26 rebounding deficit and 58-5 percent shooting surrendered on defense. The Cyclones are just 1-2 in their last three games, with double-digit losses to two ranked teams in that time (BYU and Texas Tech).

As for Arizona, they didn’t have too much issue with Kansas this past week, shooting 45.5 percent from the field with 88.2 percent (30-of-34) from the line and a 46-22 rebounding advantage. The Wildcats have won four straight, with three of those coming versus ranked teams. Iowa State really needs to step it up on Monday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Iowa State Cyclones +8.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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