Michigan vs Iowa Prediction 3/5/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Michigan vs Iowa Prediction for college basketball matchup on Thursday, March 5^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Iowa Hawkeyes Preview

The Iowa Hawkeyes have a 20-9 overall record and a 10-8 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 71-69 road loss against Penn State and their previous three games were a 74-57 home win against Ohio State, an 84-71 road loss against Wisconsin and a 57-52 home win against Nebraska.

Offensively, Iowa averages 75.7 points per game, while allowing 65 points per game defensively. The Hawkeyes shoot with 49% from the field and grab 29.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.1 assists per game. They average 2.1 blocks per game and 7.1 steals per game defensively.

Bennett Stirtz leads Iowa in scoring, with an average of 20.5 points per game, while shooting with 51.1% from the field and 84.6% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.5 assists. Tavion Banks is the team’s leading rebounder with 4.7 per game.

Michigan Wolverines Preview

The Michigan Wolverines have a 27-2 overall record and a 17-1 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off an 84-70 road win against Illinois and their previous three games were a 77-67 home win against Minnesota, a 68-63 home loss against Duke and a 91-80 road win against Purdue.

Offensively, Michigan averages 89 points per game, while allowing 68.7 points per game defensively. The Wolverines shoot with 51% from the field and grab 40.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 19.2 assists per game. They average 5.9 blocks per game and 6 steals per game defensively.

Yaxel Lendeborg leads Michigan in scoring, with an average of 14.3 points per game, while shooting with 49.8% from the field and 82.4% from the free throw line. Morez Johnson Jr. is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.4 per game. Elliot Cadeau leads the team in assists with 5.5 per game.

Michigan Wolverines @ Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Trends: March 5, 2026

Why the Iowa Hawkeyes will win

• Iowa has won each of its last nine night games at Carver-Hawkeye Arena.
• Michigan has lost each of its last five Thursday road games.
• Iowa has won the first half in nine of its last 10 night games at Carver-Hawkeye Arena.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

• Michigan has won each of its last 20 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Iowa has lost each of its last eight games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
• Michigan has won the first half in each of its last 14 Thursday games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Iowa’s last eight home games have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
• Each of Michigan’s last five road night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 154+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Iowa ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (28.2).
• Iowa ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (62.5).
• Michigan is one of only two teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last five NCAA Tournament appearances.
• Michigan ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (37.8%).

Michigan vs Iowa Prediction

In this Michigan vs Iowa Prediction, Michigan is coming as -9 road favorites. Michigan has been the better team this season and have been red-hot with a 9-1 record in their last 10 games. On the flip side, Iowa is 2-4 in its last 6 games and 2-5 against the spread and have been struggling mightily offensively lately, as they average just 65.6 points per game in their last five, so I don’t think they stand a chance against the third ranked team in the nation. Take Michigan and lay the -9 on the road in this one.