LSU vs Kentucky Prediction 3/11/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an LSU vs Kentucky Prediction for this SEC Tournament matchup on Wednesday, March 11^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Kentucky Wildcats Preview

The Kentucky Wildcats have a 19-12 overall record and a 10-8 record in the SEC conference. They are coming off an 84-77 home loss against Florida and their previous three games were a 96-85 road loss against Texas A&M, a 91-77 home win against Vanderbilt and a 72-63 road win against South Carolina.

Offensively, Kentucky averages 81.2 points per game, while allowing 73.7 points per game defensively. The Wildcats shoot with 47% from the field and grab 38.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.2 assists per game. They average 4.3 blocks per game and 7.1 steals per game defensively.

Otega Oweh leads Kentucky in scoring, with an average of 18.2 points per game, while shooting with 47.2% from the field and 73.2% from the free throw line. Malachi Moreno is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.6 per game. Denzel Aberdeen leads the team in assists with 3.5 per game.

LSU Tigers Preview

The LSU Tigers have a 15-16 overall record and a 3-15 record in the SEC conference. They are coming off a 94-91 loss against Texas A&M and their previous three games were an 88-74 road loss against Auburn, an 83-67 home loss against Oklahoma and a 106-99 road win against Ole Miss.

Offensively, LSU averages 81.4 points per game, while allowing 78.2 points per game defensively. The Tigers shoot with 47% from the field and grab 36.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.8 assists per game. They average 4 blocks per game and 6.1 steals per game defensively.

Max Mackinnon leads LSU in scoring, with an average of 15.3 points per game, while shooting with 40.8% from the field and 89% from the free throw line. Pablo Tamba is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.4 per game. Jalen Reece leads the team in assists with 3.5 per game.

LSU Tigers @ Kentucky Wildcats Betting Trends: March 11, 2026

Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win

• LSU has lost eight of its last nine games.
• Kentucky has won seven of its last eight day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• LSU has lost the first half in eight of its last nine games.

Why the LSU Tigers will win

• Kentucky has lost six of its last seven games at Bridgestone Arena.
• LSU has won 13 of its last 16 games after coming off overtime.
• Kentucky has lost the first half in each of its last four games played at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Kentucky’s last nine day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.
• Six of LSU’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Bridgestone Arena have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Kentucky ranks 47th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (38.3).
• Kentucky ranks 47th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.52).
• LSU ranks T19th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (18.8).
• LSU ranks T30th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (24.5).

LSU vs Kentucky Prediction

In this LSU vs Kentucky Prediction, Kentucky is coming as -6.5 favorites. Kentucky has been the better team this season but LSU has been better against the spread. Both teams have not been in good form lately, as Kentucky is 2-5 in its last 7 games and LSU 1-8 in its last 9. Kentucky won the regular season meeting against LSU by just one point, and LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 head-to-head matches and given both teams’ recent form, I expect another close call today, so take LSU and get the +6.5 points in this one.