Capitals vs Flyers Prediction 3/11/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Capitals vs Flyers Prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, March 11^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers Preview

The Flyers have 69 points this season with a 29-23-11 record, and are 37-26 ATS and 33-29 in over/under. They have a 14-11-7 home record and a 15-12-4 road record and are sitting 6th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 6-2 home loss to the Rangers, and their previous three games were a 4-3 road shootout win over the Penguins, a 3-0 home loss to the Mammoth, and a 3-2 road shootout win over the Maple Leafs.

Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 2.79 goals per game and are scoring 16.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.13 goals per game and are killing 78.4% of their opponent’s power plays.

Travis Konecny leads the Flyers with 57 points and 23 goals, adding a team-high 34 assists. Dan Vladar is the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he has a 20-11-6 record, with 2.52 GAA and .903 SV%. Samuel Ersson is the backup goalie and he has a 9-10-5 record, with 3.40 GAA and .859 SV%.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 71 points this season with a 32-26-7 record, and are 33-32 ATS and 30-33 in over/under. They have a 20-11-3 home record and a 12-15-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 7-3 home win over the Flames, and their previous three games were a 3-1 road loss to the Bruins, a 3-2 home loss to the Mammoth, and a 6-2 road loss to the Canadiens.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.17 goals per game and are scoring 16.4% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.92 goals per game and are killing 78.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Alex Ovechkin leads the Capitals with 50 points, while Tom Wilson leads the team in goals with 24, and John Carlson leads the team in assists with 36. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 22-18-4 record, with 2.42 GAA and .912 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 8-7-3 record, with 3.41 GAA and .881 SV%.

Washington Capitals @ Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends: March 11, 2026

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Capitals have lost each of their last seven road games following a win.
• The Flyers have won each of their last three games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in five of the Capitals’ last six games at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games.
• The Capitals have lost the third period in each of their last seven road games against Metropolitan Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Flyers have lost each of their last eight games as home underdogs.
• The Capitals have won seven of their last eight games against the Flyers.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Flyers’ last four games.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 13 home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Capitals have won the second period in each of their last seven games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last six games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Capitals’ last six games as favorites following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Six of the Flyers’ last seven home games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 19 of the Capitals’ last 20 games following a home win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last seven home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Zegras has recorded an assist in five of the Flyers’ last six home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Tyson Foerster has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances in home games.
• Trevor Zegras ranks 1st in the league for shootout goals (6) this season.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Aliaksei Protas has scored a goal in five of the Capitals’ last six games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Tom Wilson has recorded an assist in each of his last nine appearances with the Capitals as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Trevor van Riemsdyk has recorded two points against the Flyers this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.02%).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 25th in the league for goals per game this season (2.79).
• The Washington Capitals rank 27th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.41%).
• The Washington Capitals rank T29th in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (9).

Capitals vs Flyers Prediction

Both teams are tied 1-1 in their two meetings this season, with each one winning at home. The Flyers won 4-2 in Philly and the Capitals 3-1 in DC, but the Capitals have won their last six head-to-head matches before that.

In this Capitals vs Flyers Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -120 road favorites. The Capitals have been the slightly better team this season but they have been significantly weaker on the road and are just 1-3 in their last 4 games. On the flip side, the Flyers are 4-2 in their last 6 games and have already won once at home against the Capitals so I like them as home dogs in this spot. Take the Flyers on the moneyline for plus money.