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TCU vs Ohio State Prediction 3/19/26 College Basketball Picks Today

TCU (22-11) vs. Ohio State (21-12)
March 19, 2026 12:15 pm EDT
The Line: Ohio State -2.5; Over/Under: 146.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a TCU vs Ohio State Prediction for this NCAA Tournament 1st Round matchup on Thursday, March 19th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Ohio State Buckeyes Preview

The Ohio State Buckeyes have a 21-12 overall record and a 12-8 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 71-67 loss against Michigan and their previous three games were a 72-69 win against Iowa, a 91-78 win against Indiana and a 94-62 road win against Penn State.

Offensively, Ohio State averages 79.8 points per game, while allowing 72.8 points per game defensively. The Buckeyes shoot with 49% from the field and grab 33.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.4 assists per game. They average 2.4 blocks per game and 4.9 steals per game defensively.

Bruce Thornton leads Ohio State in scoring, with an average of 20.2 points per game, while shooting with 55.8% from the field and 82.7% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 3.9 assists. Devin Royal is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.7 per game.

TCU Horned Frogs Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs have a 22-11 overall record and an 11-7 record in the Big 12. They are coming off a 78-73 loss against Kansas and their previous three games were a 95-88 win against Oklahoma State, a 73-63 win against Cincinnati and a 73-65 road win against Texas Tech.

Offensively, TCU averages 78.3 points per game, while allowing 72.1 points per game defensively. The Horned Frogs shoot with 45% from the field and grab 36.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.6 assists per game. They average 4.5 blocks per game and 7.7 steals per game defensively.

David Punch leads TCU in scoring, with an average of 14.3 points per game, while shooting with 51.5% from the field and 64.8% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6.7 rebounds. Brock Harding leads the team in assists with 5.7 per game.

TCU Horned Frogs @ Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Trends: March 19, 2026

 

Why the Ohio State Buckeyes will win

  • Ohio State has won nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
  • TCU has lost four of its last five day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
  • Ohio State has won the first half in each of its last six Thursday games played at neutral venues.

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

  • TCU has won 19 of its last 20 Thursday games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Ohio State has lost three of its last four NCAA Tournament games.
  • TCU has won the first half in five of its last six games against the Big Ten Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Ohio State’s last eight day games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
  • Each of TCU’s last four games against the Big Ten Conference Conference have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Ohio State ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (61.2%).
  • Ohio State ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (56.8%).
  • TCU ranks 31st among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.2).
  • TCU ranks T40th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (12.0).

TCU vs Ohio State Prediction

In this TCU vs Ohio State Prediction, Ohio State is coming as -2.5 favorites. Both teams have almost identical records both overall and against the spread and both were participating in competitive conferences. Both teams have been in good form lately, as they are 6-1 and 4-1 in their last 7 and 5 games respectively and both their offensive and defensive numbers are similar, I will pass on picking a side. Both teams are 6-1 to the over in their last 7 games combined and they average 158.1 points per game combined this season, so take the over 146.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Over 146.5

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