Gonzaga vs Texas Prediction 3/21/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Texas (20-14) vs. Gonzaga (31-3)
March 21, 2026 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Gonzaga -6.5; Over/Under: 147.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas Longhorns and Gonzaga Bulldogs meet Saturday in the college basketball NCAA Tournament at the Moda Center. Here’s a Gonzaga vs. Texas Prediction. This article will include a Gonzaga vs. Texas Pick.
Texas Longhorns Betting Preview
The Texas Longhorns beat NC State and BYU. Texas has lost 5 of its last 8 games.
The Texas Longhorns are averaging 84.4 points on 49 percent shooting and allowing 76.9 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Dailyn Swain is averaging 17.6 points and 7.5 rebounds, while Matas Vokietaitis is averaging 15.7 points and 7.1 rebounds. Tramon Mark is the third double-digit scorer, and Jordan Pope is dishing 1.9 assists. The Texas Longhorns are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Texas Longhorns are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game.
Gonzaga Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Gonzaga Bulldogs beat Kennesaw State and Santa Clara. Gonzaga has won 31 of its last 34 games.
The Gonzaga Bulldogs are averaging 88.9 points on 51.1 percent shooting and allowing 68.5 points on 39.7 percent shooting. Graham Ike is averaging 19.7 points and 2.3 assists, while Braden Huff is averaging 17.8 points and 5.6 rebounds. Tyon Grant-Foster is the third double-digit scorer and Davis Fogle is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 69.9 percent from the free throw line. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are allowing 31.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Gonzaga Bulldogs will win
- Gonzaga has won each of its last 20 March games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- Gonzaga has won the first half in 17 of its last 18 games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at neutral venues.
Why the Texas Longhorns will win
- Texas has won 13 of its last 14 day games against non-Conference opponents.
- Texas has won the first half in 22 of its last 23 day games played at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Gonzaga’s last eight games against the Southeastern Conference has produced a total of 151+ points.
- Each of Texas’ last eight day games at a neutral venue has produced a total of 150+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Gonzaga ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (32.7).
- Gonzaga ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+19.7).
- Texas ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (19.8).
- Texas ranks T7th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (26.4).
Gonzaga vs Texas Prediction
Gonzaga has been the more consistent team this season and has the crowd edge, but I’ve been fading the Bulldogs a lot as big favorites. Gonzaga is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games as a favorite overall and 6-7 ATS in its last 13 games when a favorite of 5 or more points. This isn’t your previous dominant Gonzaga team. Kennesaw State was able to put up a fight in the first round. T
Texas has two tournament wins to build confidence and we’ve seen teams come out of nowhere and make a run on a yearly basis. Those First Four teams get hot and find themselves in the Elite Eight. Could texas be that team this season? A gritty, competitive group that crashes the glass and just finds a way. Give me the Longhorns and the points.
