Golden Knights vs Stars Prediction 3/22/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Golden Knights vs Stars Prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, March 22^nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Preview

The Stars have 97 points this season with a 43-15-11 record, and are 29-40 ATS and 34-34 in over/under. They have a 22-8-4 home record and a 21-7-7 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Central Division. They are coming off a 2-1 road overtime loss to the Wild, and their previous three games were a 2-1 road shootout win over the Avalanche, a 6-3 home loss to the Mammoth, and a 3-2 home overtime win over the Red Wings.

Offensively, the Stars are averaging 3.38 goals per game and are scoring 29.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.65 goals per game and are killing 80.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Jason Robertson leads the Stars with 82 points and 38 goals, while Mikko Rantanen leads the team in assists with 49. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 29-10-6 record, with 2.56 GAA and .903 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 14-5-5 record, with 2.40 GAA and .907 SV%.

Vegas Golden Knights Preview

The Golden Knights have 76 points this season with a 31-25-14 record, and are 27-43 ATS and 34-32 in over/under. They have a 16-12-7 home record and a 15-13-7 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 4-1 road loss to the Predators, and their previous three games were a 4-0 home loss to the Mammoth, a 2-0 home loss to the Sabres, and a 4-0 home win over the Blackhawks.

Offensively, the Golden Knights are averaging 3.14 goals per game and are scoring 24.9% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.04 goals per game and are killing 82.0% of their opponent’s power plays.

Jack Eichel leads the Golden Knights with 74 points and 50 assists, while Pavel Dorofeyev leads the team in goals with 34. Akira Schmid is the starting goalie for the Golden Knights, and he has a 16-10-6 record, with 2.59 GAA and .893 SV%. Adin Hill is the backup goalie and he has a 8-8-3 record, with 3.08 GAA and .869 SV%.

Vegas Golden Knights @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: March 22, 2026

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last 13 Sunday night games at American Airlines Center.
• The Golden Knights have lost each of their last four games at American Airlines Center.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 12 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three games.
• The Golden Knights have lost the first period in each of their last five games as underdogs following a road loss.

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Golden Knights’ last three games.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Golden Knights’ last 15 games at American Airlines Center.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine home games after coming off overtime.
• The Golden Knights have won the third period in seven of their last eight night games following a road loss.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Golden Knights’ last six games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Stars’ last six home games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last six games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The ‘Under 0.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last three games as underdogs.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Matt Duchene has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last six games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• Mikko Rantanen has scored at least one goal in four of his last five home appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (22) this season.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

• Jack Eichel has scored the first goal in three of the Golden Knights’ last four games against the Stars.
• Jack Eichel has scored at least one goal in four of the Golden Knights’ last five games against the Stars.
• Mark Stone has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
• Pavel Dorofeyev ranks 2nd in the league for Power Play Goals (18) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.65).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (29.05%).
• The Vegas Golden Knights rank T4th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.87%).
• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.98%).

Golden Knights vs Stars Prediction

The Stars won both previous meetings against the Knights this season, at home by 2-1 and on the road by 5-4 in a shootout and are 8-2 in their last 10 head-to-head matches.

In this Golden Knights vs Stars Prediction, the Stars are coming as -140 home favorites. Both teams are on the second leg of a back-to-back and both lost yesterday. The Knights will be playing their second straight game on the road and are 2-6 in their last 8 games, with their offense being non-existent lately, having scored just one goal in their last three games. The Stars are the better team and are 4-1 in their last 5 home games, while dominating the Predators in recent years. Take the Stars on the moneyline.