Michigan vs Alabama Prediction 3/27/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Alabama (25-9) vs. Michigan (33-3)
March 27, 2026 7:35 pm EDT
The Line: Michigan -8.5; Over/Under: 172.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Michigan vs Alabama prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, March 27th at the United Center in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NCAA Tournament matchup.
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
The Michigan Wolverines are 33-3 (19-1) this season after they defeated St. Louis by a score of 95-72 in their last game. Michigan led 48-39 at halftime and they added 47 points in the second half in the blowout win. The Wolverines shot 56% from the field, 48% on three pointers, and 70% on free throws in the game. Yaxel Lendeborg led Michigan with 25 points and six rebounds, while Aday Mara added 16 points and five assists in the win.
Prior to that game, Michigan defeated Howard by a score of 101-80, but lost to Purdue by a score of 80-72 before that. The Wolverines have scored 87.4 points per game with 39.9 rebounds and 18.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 69.6 points against per game this season. Yaxel Lendeborg is averaging 14.7 points and 6.9 rebounds per game, while Morez Johnson Jr is averaging 13.4 points and 7.3 rebounds per game for the Wolverines. Michigan is shooting 50.5% from the field, 74.7% on free throws, and 36.0% on three pointers this season.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide are 25-9 (13-5) this year after they defeated Texas Tech by a score of 90-65 in their last game. Alabama led 49-25 at halftime and they were able to cruise to the victory in the second half. The Crimson Tide shot 44% from the field, 45% on three pointers, and 73% on free throws in the game. Latrell Wrightsell led Alabama with 24 points and four rebounds, while Houston Mallette added 15 points and eight rebounds in the win.
Prior to that game, Alabama defeated Hofstra by a score of 90-70, but lost to Ole Miss by a score of 80-79 before that. The Crimson Tide have scored 91.6 points per game with 41.0 rebounds per game and 16.4 assists per game, while they have allowed 82.5 points against per game this season. Labaron Philon Jr is averaging 21.6 points and 5.0 assists per game, while Latrell Wrightsell is averaging 13.1 points and 3.2 rebounds per game for the Crimson Tide. Alabama is shooting 45.8% from the field, 76.5% on free throws, and 35.8% on three pointers this season.
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won each of its last 11 games when playing with a rest advantage.
- Alabama has lost 10 of its last 11 night games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
- Michigan has won the first half in each of its last eight Friday games as a top-5 AP-ranked team.
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Alabama has won each of its last six games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- Michigan has lost each of its last four March night games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
- Alabama has won the first half in each of its last 10 games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan’s last 10 games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 171 or fewer points.
- Seven of Alabama’s last eight NCAA Tournament games have produced a total of 171 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan ranks 1st for points per game (98.0) during this season’s NCAA Tournament.
- Michigan ranks 1st for field goal percentage (61.2%) during this season’s NCAA Tournament.
- Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (91.6).
- Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (35.6).
Michigan vs Alabama Prediction
Alabama comes into this matchup after winning by a combined 45 points last weekend, but they continue to be without their second leading scorer. The Crimson Tide can score plenty of points, but their defense is below average. Michigan won their first two games by a combined 44 points and while they have solid defensive numbers on the season, their defense has been very average in recent games. I do think Michigan can win this game by double digits, but the pace is going to be crazy fast and we may see both teams hit 90 points. Take the over here.