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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 4/3/26 MLB Picks Today

Atlanta Braves (5-2) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3-4)
April 3, 2026 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks +109 / Atlanta Braves -131; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Friday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send out Grant Holmes for the start here and Holmes is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. In his career, Holmes is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA and 8 strikeouts against Arizona. Eduardo Rodriguez will start here for Arizona and is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. In his career, Rodriguez is 1-0 with a 5.59 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Atlanta.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to add on to their 17-2 win from Thursday’s series opener to improve to 5-2 this season. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the Los Angeles Angels.

Braves Win Back-To-Back Games

Matt Olson has 9 hits with 4 doubles, a home run and 5 RBIs while Drake Baldwin has 8 hits with 3 home runs and 8 RBIs on the year. Ozzie Albies also has 8 hits with a home run and 2 RBIs while Mauricio Dubon’s chipped in 9 hits with a home run and 6 RBIs. Ronald Acuna Jr. has 4 hits with a double and 2 RBIs and Austin Riley has 6 hits with a double and 2 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won each of their last nine road games.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last nine games against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 14 road games.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a home loss.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Olson has hit a home run in five of the Braves’ last six games as road favorites.
  • Dominic Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Drake Baldwin ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (3) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Braves on Thursday to sit at 3-4 this season. After this set, Arizona will head on the road for a series against the New York Mets.

Diamondbacks Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with 7 hits including a double, a triple, 2 home runs and a team-high 8 RBIs while Alek Thomas has logged 3 doubles with 4 RBIs as well this season. Ketel Marte has 4 hits and Geraldo Perdomo has 6 hits, each with a home run and 2 RBIs, with Perdomo logging 2 doubles as well this season. Gabriel Moreno also has 5 hits with 2 doubles and Jose Fernandez has 2 home runs and 4 RBIs this season.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Braves and Diamondbacks.
  • The Braves have lost seven of their last eight Friday games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in five of their last six games.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last 12 home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his seven previous home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 home appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
  • Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a win in three of his four previous home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alek Thomas ranks T7th in the league in Steals (2) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Braves’ last seven games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’m on the Braves here. I know Holmes has had his issues against the Diamondbacks in the past, but Atlanta’s hit lefties fairly well here and I think Holmes can keep Atlanta in this game long enough for Atlanta to be able to take advantage of their massive edge in the bullpen. Arizona’s bullpen issues from last year have clearly carried over, and I think the Braves take advantage here. Give me Atlanta.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -131

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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