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Penguins vs Panthers Prediction 4/4/26 NHL Picks Today

Penguins vs Panthers
April 4, 2026 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: Penguins / Panthers
(Get latest betting odds)

The Florida Panthers and Pittsburgh Penguins meet Saturday in NHL action at the PPG Paints Arena. Here’s a Penguins vs. Panthers Prediction. This article will include a Penguins vs. Panthers Pick.

Florida Panthers Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers beat the Senators and Bruins and play the Penguins next. The Panthers have lost 6 of their last 10 games.

The Florida Panthers are averaging 2.92 goals per game and are scoring on 19.7 percent of their power-play opportunities. Sam Reinhart leads Florida with 29 goals, Sam Bennett has 31 assists, and Carter Verhaeghe has 176 shots on goal. Defensively, the Florida Panthers are allowing 3.29 goals per game and are killing 82.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed 144 goals on 1,206 shots faced, while Daniil Tarasov has given up 81 goals on 786 shots.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Red Wings, lost to the Lightning and play the Panthers next. The Penguins have split their last 10 games.

The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 3.46 goals per game and are scoring 24 percent of their power play opportunities. Anthony Mantha leads Pittsburgh with 30 goals, Erik Karlsson has 47 assists, and Bryan Rust has 177 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 3.08 goals per game and are killing 81.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Arturs Silovs has allowed 102 goals on 926 shots faced, while Tristan Jarry has given up 36 goals on 396 shots.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

  • The Panthers have lost each of their last five road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The home team has won each of the Panthers’ last four games.
  • The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six road games following a home win.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Panthers’ last five games.
  • The Panthers have lost the second period in eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a win.

Why the Florida Panthers will win

  • The Penguins have lost each of their last six home games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Panthers have won each of their last five night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 Saturday home games.
  • The Panthers have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against the Penguins.
  • The Penguins have lost the second period in each of their last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Eleven of the Penguins’ last 12 night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the Panthers’ last eight road games following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the last eight Saturday games at PPG Paints Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 15 of the Panthers’ last 16 road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Penguins’ last five games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

  • Sidney Crosby has scored at least one goal in each of his last seven appearances with the Penguins as home favorites against the Panthers.
  • Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances with the Penguins as home favorites.
  • Yegor Chinakhov has recorded 13 career hits against the Panthers—equal to the most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

  • Sam Bennett has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Matthew Tkachuk has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven road appearances against the Penguins.
  • Mackie Samoskevich has recorded two assists against the Penguins this season—equal to the most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.46).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.70%).
  • The Florida Panthers rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.07%).
  • The Florida Panthers rank 27th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.29).

Penguins vs Panthers Prediction

The Panthers have put together a couple of wins but they have nothing to play for and it’s time they start shutting things down to lock up a top-10 pick. The Penguins are closing in on a playoff berth and games like this only get them closer. I just don’t see the Panthers continuing to win meaningless games and potentially play themselves out of a draft pick. Give me the Penguins on their home ice and I’ll lay the PL to shave down the price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Penguins -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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