Mystics vs Liberty
May 10, 2026 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mystics +5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Liberty and Washington Mystics meet Sunday in WNBA action at the CareFirst Arena. Here’s a Mystics vs. Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Mystics vs. Liberty Pick.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The New York Liberty look for another win after blasting the Sun in their season opener. The Liberty look to start 2-0 for a third straight season.
The New York Liberty are averaging 106 points on 52.2 percent shooting and allowing 75 points on 38.8 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 31 points and 2 assists, while Marine Johannes is averaging 17 points and 5 rebounds. Julie Vanloo is the third double-digit scorer, and Betnijah Laney-Hamilton is dishing 4 assists. The New York Liberty are shooting 32.3 percent from beyond the arc and 83.9 percent from the free throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 18.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game.
Washington Mystics Betting Preview
The Washington Mystics look for another win after beating Toronto in their season opener. The Mystics look for back-to-back 2-0 starts to a season.
The Washington Mystics are averaging 68 points on 39.1 percent shooting and allowing 65 points on 27 percent shooting. Sonia Citron is averaging 26 points and 2 rebounds, while Shakira Austin is averaging 18 points and 2 assists. Kiki Iriafen is the third double-digit scorer and Georgia Amoore is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Washington Mystics are shooting 20.8 percent from beyond the arc and 59.1 percent from the free throw line. The Washington Mystics are allowing 20 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game.
Why the Washington Mystics will win
- The Liberty have lost nine of their last 11 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Liberty has failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Mystics have covered the spread in eight of their last nine day games against the Liberty.
Why the New York Liberty will win
- The Liberty has won each of their last 10 games against the Mystics.
- The Mystics have lost each of their last nine games against Liberty teams that held a winning record.
- The Mystics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four day games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in four of the Mystics’ last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Liberty’s last eight Sunday games as favorites has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Mystics’ last five games has gone UNDER the total points line.
Washington Mystics Player Facts
- Sonia Citron ranked 1st amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.5%) last season.
- Kiki Iriafen ranked 4th amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (8.5) last season.
New York Liberty Player Facts
- Breanna Stewart scored 20+ points in two consecutive appearances—the equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Jonquel Jones ranked 5th amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.4%) last season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Washington Mystics ranked 1st for free throw attempts per game last season (20.7).
- The Washington Mystics recorded the longest losing streak in the WNBA last season (10 games).
- The New York Liberty ranked 1st for opponent three-point percentage last season (31.5%).
- The New York Liberty ranked 1st for free throw percentage last season (83.7%).
Mystics vs Liberty Injury Report
The Mystics will be without Cotie McMahon, Michaela Onyenwere, Alex Wilson, and Alicia Florez Getino.
The Liberty will be without Sabrina Ionescu due to an ankle injury.
Mystics vs Liberty Prediction
The Mystics showed some things in their season opener, winning on the road in Toronto’s debut. It’s a massive step up in competition here with the Liberty coming to town. The Liberty are still down Ionescu, but I’m still surprised this line is this soft. As I said in my previous write-up, the Liberty are the best team in the league on paper and are going to have games that are a crime scene. We just saw it against the Sun. You’re not going to get the Liberty and lines this soft often. While it does feel a bit suspicious, I’ll lay the bet with the Liberty on the road.
