Orioles vs Yankees Prediction 5/11/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 11th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 18-23 this year after they lost two out of three against the Athletics by scores of 3-4, 2-6, and 2-1. In game three, Baltimore trailed 1-0 in the second inning, but they scored one run in the third and one in the sixth for the win. The Orioles recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Henderson, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Bassitt allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Garcia picked up the save. Prior to that series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Marlins, but lost all four against the Yankees before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.74 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP and a .266 opponent batting average, while they have scored 181 runs with a .232 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Jeremiah Jackson has led the Orioles with six home runs and 24 RBIs, while Pete Alonso has added eight home runs and 22 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Brandon Young, who is 3-1 with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 20.2 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 26-15 this season after they were swept by the Brewers by scores of 0-6, 3-4, and 3-4. In game three, New York led 2-0 in the second inning, but they only scored one run in the last seven innings in the loss. The Yankees recorded six hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Judge, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI in the game. Rodon allowed two hits and three earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Bednar picked up the loss in the ninth. Prior to that series, New York won two out of three against the Rangers and all four against the Orioles. 

This season, New York has a 3.14 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .220 opponent batting average, while they have scored 215 runs with a .239 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Aaron Judge has led the Yankees with 16 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Ben Rice has added 12 home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Ryan Weathers, who is 2-2 with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 38.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The home team has won each of the last seven games between the Yankees and Orioles.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last four road games.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Yankees and Orioles.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home night games.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last nine games against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have lost 17 of their last 18 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last four night games against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against the Orioles.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the last five games between the Yankees and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven night games against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Taylor Ward has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine night games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last nine games against the Orioles.
• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four road games against AL opponents.

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup trying to snap their three game losing streak and they have scored just six runs in their last three games. The Yankees are 12-9 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 10-11 at home. Baltimore has lost three of their last four games and they have scored three runs or fewer in all four of those contests. The O’s are starting Young, who has allowed 3, 4, and 3 earned runs in his last three outings, while Weathers has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight. Take the Yankees -1.5 here.