Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction 5/16/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 16th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 20-25 this year after they won game one by a score of 3-2 on Saturday. Detroit trailed 2-0 early in the game, but they tied the game in the sixth and walked-off in the ninth. The Tigers recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Torkelson, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Hanifee opened the game in the first, while Anderson threw four innings in relief and Jansen got the win. Prior to this series, Detroit lost all three against the Mets and two out of three against the Royals. 

This season, Detroit has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 186 runs with a .242 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with eight home runs and 28 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added four home runs and 23 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 2-2 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 31.0 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 19-25 this season after they lost game one by a score of 3-2 last night. Toronto scored both of their runs in the second inning, but their offense was terrible over the last seven innings for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Gimenez, who went 1-3 with two RBIs. Yesavage allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Hoffman picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto lost two out of three against the Rays, but did win two out of three against the Angels before that. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.10 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 182 runs with a .245 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 10 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Jesus Sanchez has added five home runs and 18 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Mason Fluharty, who is 2-0 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 15.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five road games.
• The Tigers have won eight of their last nine day games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in each of their last five day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home day games.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The underdogs have won six of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Tigers.
• The Tigers have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 16 of the last 17 games between the Blue Jays and Tigers.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a win.
• The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three home games.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Tigers’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Blue Jays’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine day games against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Blue Jays and Tigers.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 10 games.
• Casey Mize has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against AL East opponents.
• Casey Mize has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last five games as favorites against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tigers rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (83).
• The Tigers rank T5th in the league for triples this season (7).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (1).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (300).

Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Detroit was able to snap their losing streak with a much needed win on Friday night, but they have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last four games. The Tigers are 13-6 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 6-14 on the road. Toronto has lost four of their last five games and they have allowed 6+ in three of those five. The Jays are starting Fluharty, who will operate as an opener, while Mize will come off of the IL for his first start since late April. I think getting Mize back will be a huge boost for this injured Tigers team and I like them to win here.