Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction 5/16/26 MLB Picks Today

The Texas Rangers and the Houston Astros meet Saturday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Texas Rangers will send out Jacob deGrom for the start here and deGrom is 3-2 with a 2.62 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. In his career, deGrom is 1-2 with a 3.70 ERA and 29 strikeouts against the Astros. The Houston Astros will send out Kai-Wei Teng here and Teng is 1-3 with a 3.12 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. This will be Teng’s first career start against the Rangers.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 2-0 loss at the hands of the Astros on Friday to fall to 21-23 this season. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road for a series against the Colorado Rockies.

Rangers Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Entering Friday, Brandon Nimmo has 45 hits with 7 doubles, 2 triples, 4 home runs and 12 RBIs while Jake Burger has 36 hits with 5 doubles, 7 home runs and 27 RBIs. Corey Seager has 28 hits with 6 doubles, 7 home runs and 20 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 19 hits with 3 doubles, 2 triples, a home run and 4 RBIs. Evan Carter also has 23 hits with 5 doubles, 5 home runs and 13 RBIs while Josh Jung has 49 hits with 13 doubles, 5 home runs and 20 RBIs as well on the year.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Rangers from Friday to improve to 18-28 on the year. After this series, the Astros will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.

Astros Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Going into Friday, Yordan Alvarez has 53 hits with 11 doubles, 14 home runs and 30 RBIs while Christian Walker has 44 hits with 10 doubles, 10 home runs and 29 RBIs on the year. Jose Altuve’s chipped in 39 hits with 10 doubles, 3 home runs and 11 RBIs and Carlos Correa has 34 hits with 8 doubles, 3 home runs and 16 RBIs. Cam Smith also has 30 hits with 6 doubles, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs. Yainer Diaz also has 24 hits with 5 doubles, 2 home runs and 14 RBIs.

Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: May 16, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kai-Wei Teng      Record this season: 1-3      ERA: 3.12
• Home Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Rangers: –

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Rangers.
• The Rangers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against the Astros following a road loss.
• The Astros have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as underdogs against the Rangers.
• The Astros have won the first inning in three of their last four games against the Rangers.
• The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against AL West opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob deGrom      Record this season: 3-2      ERA: 2.62
• Road Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Astros: 1-2

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Astros have lost each of their last six night games following a win.
• The Rangers have won seven of their last eight night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games following a win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in four of their last five games as favorites following a loss.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games at Daikin Park against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Rangers’ last six games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Astros’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of Jacob deGrom’s last seven road appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Astros’ last six night games.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Christian Walker has hit at least one home run in four of the Astros’ last five Saturday games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Astros as home underdogs against the Rangers.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.431) this season.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Josh Jung has hit a home run in three of the Rangers’ last four Saturday games.
• Jacob deGrom has recorded eight or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine Saturday appearances in night games.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 10 Saturday night games.
• Josh Jung ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.316) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.47).
• The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (232).
• The Rangers rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (162).
• The Rangers rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (154).

Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros Prediction

I’m on the under in this one. Jacob deGrom’s looked really solid in his recent outings for the most part and this is an Astros team I can see struggling once again here offensively. On the flipside, I’m not a fan of Kai-Wei Teng, but the Rangers offense continues to be hit or miss and I think the under cashes here. Give me the under.