Reds vs Mets Prediction 6/17/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 17th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 35-37 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 12-0 and 5-3. In game two, Cincinnati scored four runs in the first inning and led the whole way for the win. The Reds recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Stewart, who went 2-3 with one home run and four RBIs. Singer allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Moll allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks and two out of three against the Padres. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 4.59 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 310 runs with a .229 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz has led the Reds with 12 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Sal Stewart has added 14 home runs and 47 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 2-1 with a 5.21 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 38.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 32-41 this season after they lost game two by a score of 5-3 last night. New York cut the deficit to 5-3 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Mets recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Vientos, who went 1-2 with one home run and two RBIs. Senga allowed two hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Perez allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Braves, but lost two out of three against the Cardinals before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.99 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 291 runs with a .229 batting average and a .296 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 15 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added eight home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 3-4 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 76.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have won each of their last five day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against the Mets.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in five of their last six games at Great American Ball Park against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Reds have lost each of their last eight Wednesday day home games.
• The Mets have won each of their last four day games following a loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday day home games.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six Wednesday day games against the Reds.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last 11 Wednesday day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last five day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Mets’ last nine road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last 10 Wednesday games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight Wednesday games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• JJ Bleday has hit at least one home run in each of the Reds’ last two day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Nick Lodolo has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Nick Lodolo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 10 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Reds.
• Bo Bichette has recorded two or more hits in each of the Mets’ last five games.
• Juan Soto ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.549) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Reds rank 28th in the league for hits this season (553).
• The Reds rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.229).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (92).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.369).

Reds vs Mets Prediction 

Cincinnati comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they are looking for the series sweep here. The Reds are 19-18 at home this year, while the Mets are 14-23 on the road. New York has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 5+ runs in three of their last five. The Mets are starting McLean, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts, while Lodolo has allowed 2, 4, 3, 1, and 3 earned runs in his last five outings. Take the Mets here.