Orioles vs Nationals Prediction 6/27/26 MLB Picks Today
Washington Nationals (41-42) vs. Baltimore Orioles (39-44)
June 27, 2026 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -120 / Washington Nationals 100; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 27th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 39-44 this season after they won game one by a score of 3-1 on Friday. Baltimore scored two runs in the fourth inning and one in the seventh in the low scoring win. The Orioles recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Alexander, who went 1-3 with two RBIs. Rogers allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.1 innings for the win, while Helsley got the save. Prior to this series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Angels, but did win two out of three against the Dodgers before that.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.39 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 385 runs with a .241 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 18 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Brandon Young, who is 6-2 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 67.1 innings pitched this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 41-42 this year after they lost game one by a score of 1-3 last night. Washington cut the deficit to 2-1 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t score anymore runs in the loss. The Nationals recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Ruiz, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Alvarez allowed six hits and two earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Lord allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Washington lost three out of four against the Phillies and two out of three against the Rays.
This season, Washington has a 4.74 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while they have scored 439 runs with a .245 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 17 home runs and 57 RBIs, while James Wood has added 20 home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Foster Griffin, who is 8-2 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 91.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last eight Saturday night home games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last four games.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL East opponents.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won eight of their last nine games as road underdogs following a road loss.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last six Saturday games as home favorites.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 road games following a road loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Saturday games as home favorites.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Fifteen of the Nationals’ last 16 night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Orioles’ last four games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last six night games against American League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Brandon Young’s last four home appearances as a starter.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Young has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances.
- Jackson Holliday has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Young has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Taylor Ward ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Luis Garcia has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in night games.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents.
- Foster Griffin has recorded a win in seven of his eight previous appearances in night games.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (31) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (761).
- The Orioles rank 5th in the league for walks this season (313).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (439).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (417).
Orioles vs Nationals Prediction
Washington comes into this matchup on a four game losing streak and they have allowed 32 runs during that span. The Nationals are 24-17 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 23-19 at home. Baltimore has won three of their last five games and they have scored 6+ runs in three of those five. The Orioles are starting Young, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, while Griffin has allowed one earned run in four straight. Take the Nationals to win here.