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Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction 6/28/26 MLB Picks Today

Texas Rangers (41-42) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (39-44)
June 28, 2026 1:37 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -131 / Texas Rangers 108; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 28th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 39-44 this year after they lost the first three games in this series by scores of 5-6, 4-5, and 4-7. In game three, Toronto allowed the first six runs in the game and never really got back in it for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Pinango, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Cease allowed four hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Fluharty allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto lost two out of three against the Astros and split two games with the Cubs. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.17 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 341 runs with a .249 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 19 home runs and 53 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added seven home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Shane Bieber, who is 0-0 with a 9.82 ERA and a 2.45 WHIP over 3.2 innings pitched this year. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 41-42 this season after they won game three by a score of 7-4 on Saturday. Texas took the lead in the first inning and never looked back in the victory. The Rangers recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Burger, who went 3-5 with two RBIs. Quantrill allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Gray got the win and Alexander picked up the save. Prior to this series, Texas lost two out of three against the Marlins, but did win two out of three against the Padres before that. 

This season, Texas has a 3.98 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 337 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Jake Burger has led the Rangers with 14 home runs and 50 RBIs, while Ezequiel Duran has added six home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Kumar Rocker, who is 2-6 with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 74.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Rangers have lost five of their last six day games against AL East opponents following a road win.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last nine day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
  • The underdogs have won each of the Blue Jays’ last five games.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against the Blue Jays following a win.
  • The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Blue Jays.
  • The Rangers have won the first inning in each of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against the Blue Jays.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last 14 games between the Rangers and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Rangers’ last 10 games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as home favorites.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rangers’ last seven games against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Shane Bieber has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his six previous appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Shane Bieber has recorded a win in four of his five previous appearances at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Joc Pederson has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Kumar Rocker has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as underdogs.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 13 day games.

Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction 

Texas comes into this matchup looking for the four game sweep and they have scored 18 runs in the first three games. The Rangers are 22-24 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 22-23 at home. Toronto has lost five in a row, but they have scored 4+ runs in four of those five. The Blue Jays are starting Bieber, who allowed nine hits and four earned runs over 3.2 innings in his first start, while Rocker has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take the Rangers once again here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Rangers ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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