Astros vs Tigers Prediction 6/28/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Astros vs Tigers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, June 28^th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Detroit Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers have a 35-48 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL Central. They have a 23-20 home record and are coming off a 6-8 home defeat against the Astros. They will face the Yankees and the Rangers next.

The Tigers have a .234 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Riley Greene is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average. Dillon Dingler leads the team in RBI with 58, adding a team-high 19 home runs.

Jack Flaherty (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers, and he has a 1-8 record, 5.35 ERA and 1.57 WHIP.

Houston Astros Preview

The Houston Astros have a 41-44 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL West. They have a 21-23 road record and are coming off an 8-6 road win against the Tigers. They will face the Twins and the Rays next.

The Astros have a .241 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .408 Slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 4.76 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .314 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 56 adding a team-high 25 home runs.

Hunter Brown (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros, and he has a 1-0 record, 1.40 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers Betting Trends: June 28, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jack Flaherty      Record this season: 1-8      ERA: 5.35
• Home Record: 0-3
• Last 5 against Astros: 2-2

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Astros have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites.
• The underdogs have won four of the Astros’ last five games.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in six of the Tigers’ last seven games.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as road favorites.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Hunter Brown      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 1.40
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Tigers: 1-0

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Tigers have lost eight of their last nine day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Astros have won each of their last four day games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Astros have covered the run line in four of their last five games.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in 21 of their last 27 games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Tigers’ last eight games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Astros’ last six day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Tigers’ last six day games against AL West opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Astros’ last 10 games at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his four previous home appearances against the Astros.
• Kevin McGonigle has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 11 day games.
• Dillon Dingler ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.537) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Cam Smith has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last two day games.
• Hunter Brown has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances in day games.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.619) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tigers rank 28th in the league for steals this season (29).
• The Tigers rank T4th in the league for triples this season (16).
• The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (28).
• The Astros rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (367).

Astros vs Tigers Prediction

The Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Tigers but are 2-4 in their last 6 visits in Detroit.

In this Astros vs Tigers Prediction, the Astros are coming as -130 road favorites. I am with the Astros in this one as they have the pitching edge with Brown going up against Jack Flaherty. Brown has been elite so far this season, having given up just three runs in his four starts, while Flaherty has given up at least three runs in in seven of his ten starts this season and has a terrible 1-8 record. The Astros have been playing good baseball and are 7-3 in their last 10 games, so I expect them to get the job done on the road in this one.