Astros vs Twins Prediction 7/1/26 MLB Picks Today

The Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros meet Wednesday in MLB action at Daikin Park. Here’s an Astros vs Twins Prediction. This article will include an Astros vs Twins Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 41-46 on the year and play the Guardians and Yankees next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .247 on the season and have a .321 OBP and a .411 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins’ pitching staff has a 4.87 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins with 81 hits and 43 RBI, while Josh Bell and Brooks Lee have combined for 150 hits and 101 RBI.

Taj Bradley gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 6-3 with a 3.98 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. Bradley is 2-3 with a 5.61 ERA and 33 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 43-45 on the year and play the Rays and Nationals next. The Houston Astros are batting. 241 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and have a .410 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros’ pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez leads the Houston Astros with 97 hits and 60 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Christian Walker have combined for 150 hits and 101 RBI.

Tatsuya Imai gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 5-3 with a 5.36 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. This will be Imai’s second career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Twins have lost five of their last six night games after playing the previous day.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last seven Wednesday night home games.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games as home favorites.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games as home favorites.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games against AL West opponents.
• The Twins have won the first inning in six of their last seven road games against AL West opponents.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Astros’ last five games as favorites against the Twins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eleven of the Twins’ last 14 road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Taj Bradley’s last seven road appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Astros’ last six games.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven home appearances against the Twins.
• Tatsuya Imai has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
• Tatsuya Imai has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.618) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Taj Bradley has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Taj Bradley has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against AL West opponents.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in 11 of his last 14 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (28).
• The Astros rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (380).
• The Twins rank 28th in the league for runs allowed this season (452).
• The Twins rank 27th in the league for ERA this season (4.87).

Astros vs Twins Prediction

We’ve seen crooked numbers from both the Astros and Twins all week, and I don’t expect anything different. Bradley is coming off a June in which he allowed 25 hits and 17 runs in 27.2 innings. Bradley has allowed 21 runs in his last 31.2 innings. Imai has allowed 17 hits and 10 runs in his last 17.2 innings. At home through 23.2 frames, Imai has a 6.46 ERA and a .242 allowed batting average. This total seems low given the form of both pitchers. Give me the over in this spot.