Mercury vs Storm
July 2, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mercury -3.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Seattle Storm and Phoenix Mercury meet Thursday in WNBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Mercury vs Storm Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs Storm Pick.
Seattle Storm Betting Preview
The Seattle Storm look to win 3 straight games for the first time this season. The Seattle Storm have lost 8 straight road games.
The Seattle Storm are averaging 81.1 points on 42.8 percent shooting and allowing 86.2 points on 42.9 percent shooting. Dominique Malonga is averaging 17.4 points and 7.6 rebounds, while Natisha Hiedeman is averaging 15.6 points and 2.4 rebounds. Flau’jae Johnson is the third double-digit scorer, and Awa Fam is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Seattle Storm are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Seattle Storm are allowing 29.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.1 rebounds per game.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury look for a win after winning 3 of their last 4 games. The Mercury have lost 16 of their last 23 regular-season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 84 points on 43.6 percent shooting and allowing 86.8 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 20.1 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.7 points and 8.4 assists. Jovana Nogic is the third double-digit scorer, and Monique Akoa Makani is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.4 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The Storm have lost 22 of their last 23 road games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The Mercury have won seven of their last eight home games after winning as underdogs.
- The home team has covered the spread in 11 of the Storm’s last 12 games.
- The Storm have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as road underdogs.
Why the Seattle Storm will win
- The Mercury have lost each of their last five night games at the Mortgage Matchup Center.
- The underdogs have won six of the last eight games between the Mercury and Storm at the Mortgage Matchup Center.
- The Storm have covered the spread in each of their last 11 Thursday night games.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games against teams that held a losing record.
Total Points Facts
- Eleven of the Mercury’s last 12 games at the Mortgage Matchup Center have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Storm’s last five games has gone OVER the total points line.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- DeWanna Bonner ranks last amongst 47 qualified players for three-point field-goal percentage (25.3%) this season.
- Lexi Held is one of only 33 players to have scored 16+ points off the bench in a game this season.
Seattle Storm Player Facts
- Awa Fam ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (45.7%) this season.
- Natisha Hiedeman is one of only three players in the league to have made 5+ threes in consecutive games this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for second-chance points (193) this season.
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for second-chance points per game (9.6) this season.
- The Seattle Storm rank 14th in assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.3).
- The Seattle Storm rank 14th for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.5).
Mercury vs Storm Injury Report
The Mercury will be without Sami Whitcomb due to a knee injury. Natasha Mack is out with a foot injury. Noemie Brochant is out with an ankle injury.
Ezi Magbegor is probable for the Storm despite a foot injury. Taina Mair is out due to a coach’s decision.
Mercury vs Storm Prediction
The Mercury is showing flashes of getting their act together, and we know the talent is there for them to turn their season around. The Storm is coming off a couple of wins, but they still have to prove they can do it on the road, where they’ve lost 8 straight games. The Mercury beat the Storm twice already this season. This is also the return of Alyssa Thomas, which should be a boost for the team and the crowd as well. Her suspension could bring this group together. I’ll lay the reasonable line.
