Dodgers vs Padres Prediction 7/4/26 MLB Picks Today

The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Saturday in MLB action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a Dodgers vs Padres Prediction. This article will include a Dodgers vs Padres Pick.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 43-44 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Blue Jays next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 225 on the season, have a .301 OBP, and have a .375 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 93 hits and 33 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 137 hits and 66 RBI.

Griffin Canning gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 1-5 with a 7.09 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. Canning is 3-1 with a 3.89 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 58-31 on the year and play the Rockies and Diamondbacks next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .266 on the season and have a .349 OBP and a .444 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 95 hits and 47 RBI, while Andy Pages and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 181 hits and 112 RBI.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 8-5 with a 2.67 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. Yamamoto is 2-3 with a 4.60 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Padres have lost each of their last 10 Saturday games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
• The Dodgers have won each of their last eight home games against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last five games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Saturday games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
• The Dodgers have won the first inning in three of their last four games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Saturday games against the Padres at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Padres have won eight of their last nine Saturday games as underdogs.
• The Dodgers have lost three of their last four night games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Dodgers’ last nine games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
• The Dodgers have lost the first inning in each of their last three home games.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Dodgers’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Padres’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Padres’ last four games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last four games between the Padres and Dodgers at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Andy Pages has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers’ last two games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 10 night games.
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto is one of only five pitchers to record 90+ Strikeouts and 20 or fewer walks this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two games.
• Griffin Canning has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against NL West opponents.
• Miguel Andujar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Saturday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Griffin Canning has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against NL West opponents.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T7th in the league in Steals (20) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.266).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.444).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (642).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.225).

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction

As I’ve said many times before, I’m always looking for a chance to fade the Dodgers and these inflated prices. The problem is Canning has a 7.09 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Canning has allowed 22 hits and 15 runs in his last 19.1 innings. In 20.1 innings on the road, Canning has an 8.41 ERA and a .325 allowed batting average. Those numbers are ugly going into a game against the red-hot Dodgers. Yamamoto has allowed just 7 runs in his last 33.2 innings, and he has a 2.67 ERA and 0.89 WHIP on the season. I’m rolling with the Dodgers again, and I’ll lay the RL to shave down the juice.