Rays vs Yankees Prediction 7/7/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 7th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 52-36 this season after they lost game one by a score of 1-5 on Monday night. Tampa Bay cut the deficit to 3-1 in the fifth inning, but they couldn’t find anymore runs for the loss. The Rays recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Palacios, who went 2-3 with one RBI. Jax allowed one hit and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Roycroft allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay lost two out of three against the Astros, but did sweep the Royals before that. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 397 runs with a .258 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with 13 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Junior Caminero has added 26 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Ian Seymour, who is 5-1 with a 4.02 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 56.0 innings pitched this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 50-40 this year after they won game one by a score of 5-1 last night. New York scored three runs in the fifth inning and never looked back in the relatively easy win. The Yankees recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Caballero, who went 2-3 with two home runs and four RBIs. Schlittler allowed four hits and one earned run over 8.0 innings for the win, while Bednar pitched the ninth. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Twins and all three against the Tigers. 

This season, New York has a 3.37 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while they have scored 432 runs with a .233 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 25 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 7-3 with a 3.73 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last seven games at Tropicana Field following a win.
• The Rays have won 13 of their last 14 home games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games at Tropicana Field following a road win.
• The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games as favorites.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Rays have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Yankees have won each of their last 10 Tuesday road games.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Tuesday games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Rays.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Tuesday home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rays’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Yankees’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rays’ last seven games as favorites.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Yankees’ last seven games as underdogs.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Junior Caminero has hit at least one home run in each of the Rays’ last four games as home favorites.
• Chandler Simpson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Ben Rice has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last three night games.
• Will Warren has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances in night games.
• Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Rays vs Yankees Prediction

New York was able to get a much needed win on Monday to start this series, but they have really struggled over the last few weeks. The Yankees are 27-20 on the road this year, while the Rays are 31-13 at home. Tampa Bay has lost three in a row and they have scored one run in their last two games. The Rays are starting Seymour, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, while Warren has allowed two earned runs in three of his last four. I am going to take the Yankees here, as Warren has been very good all season.