Mets vs Royals Prediction 7/9/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 9th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 39-54 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 12-16 and 6-2. In game two, New York was tied at one in the sixth inning, but they scored five runs in the eighth for the win. The Mets recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Baty, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Scott allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Raley picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, New York split four games with the Braves and lost two out of three against the Blue Jays. 

This season, New York has a 4.34 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 387 runs with a .234 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 20 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 10 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 1-4 with a 5.16 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 68.0 innings pitched this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 38-55 this year after they lost game two by a score of 2-6 on Wednesday night. Kansas City tied the game at one in the sixth inning, but only managed one more run in the loss. The Royals recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Jensen, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Dobnak allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Lange allowed five earned runs for the loss. Prior to this series, Kansas City won two out of three against the Phillies, but lost all three against the Rays before that. 

This season, Kansas City has a 4.86 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .263 opponent batting average, while they have scored 402 runs with a .248 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Carter Jensen has led the Royals with 13 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 12 home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Wacha, who is 5-6 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 114.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Royals have lost each of their last seven Thursday day games.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Thursday day games.
• The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six home games.
• The Royals have lost the first inning in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Thursday day games.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Thursday day games.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Mets have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a win.
• The Royals have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last eight Thursday games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last four day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Royals’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Royals’ last eight day games against National League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four games against AL Central opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• A.J. Ewing has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last three home games.
• Sean Manaea has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his six previous home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Mark Vientos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Lane Thomas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Michael Wacha has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against former teams.
• Carter Jensen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances.
• Michael Wacha has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against former teams.

Mets vs Royals Prediction 

Kansas City had their small winning streak stopped on Wednesday night, but they have scored 38 runs in their last four games. The Royals are 17-29 on the road this year, while the Mets are 20-25 at home. New York has also won three of their last four games and they have scored at least six runs in all four. The Mets are starting Manaea, who has allowed 3, 2, 3, 2, and 2 earned runs in his last five starts, while Wacha has allowed 4, 1, 1, 3, and 4 earned runs in his last five outings. I don’t love this pitching matchup, but I will back the Mets at home.