Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 7/12/26 MLB Picks Today

The Cleveland Guardians and the Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Cleveland Guardians will give the start to Joey Cantillo and Cantillo is 7-4 with a 3.66 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. Tyler Phillips will get the nod for the Marlins and is 2-3 with a 3.28 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season.

Cleveland Guardians Recap

The Cleveland Guardians come into this game looking to add on to their 4-1 win over the Miami Marlins last time out to sit at 50-46 this season. After this series, the Guardians will head home for a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Guardians Win 3 Straight

Entering Saturday, Chase DeLauter has 80 hits with 16 doubles, 9 home runs and 43 RBIs while Steven Kwan has 63 hits with 9 doubles, a home run and 14 RBIs and Jose Ramirez has 64 hits with 18 doubles, 10 home runs and 33 RBIs this season. Brayan Rocchio has also added 83 hits with 14 doubles, 7 home runs and 42 RBIs this season while Angel Martinez has 54 hits with 11 doubles, 11 homers and 33 RBIs and Rhys Hoskins has added 38 hits with 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 31 RBIs. Daniel Schneemann has 50 hits with 10 doubles, 6 home runs and 28 RBIs this season.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Guardians on Saturday to sit at 52-44 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Marlins Drop Back-To-Back Games

Going into Saturday, Xavier Edwards has 103 hits with 13 doubles, 6 triples, 6 home runs and 36 RBIs while Otto Lopez has 127 hits with 26 doubles, 6 triples, 9 homers and 45 RBIs and Liam Hicks has added 83 hits with 9 doubles, 13 home runs and 57 RBIs. Connor Norby has 41 hits with 12 doubles, 4 home runs and 16 RBIs and Owen Caissie has 52 hits with 12 doubles, 12 homers and 50 RBIs. Jakob Marsee also has 63 hits with 11 doubles, 3 triples, 5 home runs and 25 RBIs this season.

Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: July 12, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Phillips      Record this season: 2-3      ERA: 3.28
• Home Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Guardians: 1-0

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won five of their last six day games at LoanDepot Park following a loss.
• The Guardians have lost four of their last five day games following a road win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 day games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games against American League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Joey Cantillo      Record this season: 7-4      ERA: 3.66
• Road Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Marlins: –

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Marlins’ last four games.
• The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last six games.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Guardians’ last nine road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the last six games between the Guardians and Marlins at LoanDepot Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last 10 home games against American League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Guardians’ last eight road games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games as home favorites.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine home games.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (127) this season.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Joey Cantillo has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games.
• Joey Cantillo has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances.
• Steven Kwan has recorded a hit in each of the Guardians’ last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
• David Fry has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (24).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (101).
• The Guardians rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (363).
• The Guardians rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.368).

Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins Prediction

I’m on the Marlins in this one. Originally it’s Max Meyer’s spot in the rotation, but Meyer is on the all-star squad, so that forced Phillips into this spot. The Guardians have won a fair number of Cantillo’s starts this year, but I’m convinced that the Marlins have improved their approach against left-handed pitching this season. Phillips is still a decent option and I’m still not convinced as far as this Cleveland Guardians offense goes, so I’ll roll with the Marlins to avoid the sweep here.